final campaign? not so much…

Posted on Saturday 27 December 2008


Gallup Poll as of Dec 26, 2008

Sep 11, 2001 The attack on the Twin Towers in New York
Mar 20, 2003 The American Invasion of Iraq
Dec 13, 2003 Saddam Hussein captured in Iraq


Gallup Poll as of Dec 26, 2008

It’s the top line on the bottom graph that holds my attention. It’s hard for me to grasp. I certainly don’t accept that it simply means what it says, that two thirds of Republicans still believe that George W. Bush’s performance as President has been acceptable. That’s too much of a stretch.

One possibility is that Republicans who became disapproving responded to the poll  by also changing to Independents. Unfortunately, the Raw Data for Gallup polls isn’t published so I can’t check that hypothesis. Another more likely hypothesis is that the poll is measuring something else. – the fraction of Republicans that are terrified of Democrats being in power. Who might they be? I would guess the Religious Right who are focused only on Abortion and Homosexuality, the people whose lives revolve around the National Rifle Association, and the Business Conservatives and their super-rich clients. What they are likely "approving of" are Bush’s ideological positions rather than his performance in office. Furthermore …

2nd Term, Final Month
Bush 29%
Clinton 63%
Reagan 63%
Johnson 44%
Eisenhower 59%
Truman 32%

even with his holding onto whatever the Republican Approval Ratings actually mean, he still takes the booby prize…
  1.  
    Carl
    December 27, 2008 | 7:31 PM
     

    What I haven’t been able to get right along is who in the heck thought Dubya was performing respectably in 2002? 2003? etc etc. It was plainly obvious even when he was photo-oped standing on the pile in lower Manhattan with the fireman at his side that we did not have effective leadership in a crucial role at a most crucial time. Would that we could take it all back and make it all go away.

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