the hole in the doughnut…

Posted on Friday 22 May 2009


Cheney Lost to Bush
New York Times
By DAVID BROOKS
May 21, 2009

President Obama and Dick Cheney conspired on Thursday to propagate a myth. The myth is that we lived through an eight-year period of Bush-Cheney anti-terror policy and now we have entered a very different period called the Obama-Biden anti-terror policy. As both Obama and Cheney understand, this is a completely bogus distortion of history. The reality is that after Sept. 11, we entered a two- or three-year period of what you might call Bush-Cheney policy. The country was blindsided. Intelligence officials knew next to nothing about the threats arrayed against them. The Bush administration tried just about everything to discover and prevent threats. The Bush people believed they were operating within the law but they did things most of us now find morally offensive and counterproductive.

The Bush-Cheney period lasted maybe three years. For Dick Cheney those might be the golden years. For Democrats, it is surely the period they want to forever hang around the necks of the Republican Party. But that period ended long ago. By 2005, what you might call the Bush-Rice-Hadley era had begun. Gradually, in fits and starts, a series of Bush administration officials — including Condoleezza Rice, Stephen Hadley, Jack Goldsmith and John Bellinger — tried to rein in the excesses of the Bush-Cheney period. They didn’t win every fight, and they were prodded by court decisions and public outrage, but the gradual evolution of policy was clear.

From 2003 onward, people like Bellinger and Goldsmith were fighting against legal judgments that allowed enhanced interrogation techniques. By 2006, Rice and Hadley brought Khalid Shaikh Mohammed in from a secret foreign prison to regularize detainee procedures. In 2007, Rice refused to support an executive order reviving the interrogation program. Throughout the second Bush term, officials were trying to close Guantánamo, pleading with foreign governments to take some prisoners, begging senators to allow the transfer of prisoners onto American soil…

Obama has embraced the Afghan surge, a strategy that was brewing at the end of the Bush years. He has stepped up drone activity in Pakistan. He has promoted aggressive counterinsurgency fighters and racked up domestic anti-terror accomplishments. As for the treatment of terror suspects, Jack Goldsmith has a definitive piece called “The Cheney Fallacy” online at The New Republic. He lists a broad range of policies — Guantánamo, habeas corpus, military commissions, rendition, interrogation and so on. He shows how, in most cases, the Obama policy represents a continuation of or a gradual evolution from the final Bush policy.

What Obama gets, and what President Bush never got, is that other people’s opinions matter. Goldsmith puts it well: “The main difference between the Obama and Bush administrations concerns not the substance of terrorism policy, but rather its packaging. The Bush administration shot itself in the foot time and time again, to the detriment of the legitimacy and efficacy of its policies, by indifference to process and presentation. The Obama administration, by contrast, is intensely focused on these issues.”

Obama has taken many of the same policies Bush ended up with, and he has made them credible to the country and the world. In his speech, Obama explained his decisions in a subtle and coherent way. He admitted that some problems are tough and allow no easy solution. He treated Americans as adults, and will have won their respect. Do I wish he had been more gracious with and honest about the Bush administration officials whose policies he is benefiting from? Yes. But the bottom line is that Obama has taken a series of moderate and time-tested policy compromises. He has preserved and reformed them intelligently. He has fit them into a persuasive framework. By doing that, he has not made us less safe. He has made us more secure.
This is a reasonable line of thought. I have arguments with some of the elements, and I have trouble with exonerating Mr. Bush, but I accept the idea that the policies did become more rational over time.
My problem with Brooks’ thesis is actually in his title, Cheney lost to Bush. When I think back over it, I think the die was cast before 911 ever happened. Bush’s circle had five pieces [more like a doughnut than a circle because there was nothing in the center]:
  • Harriet Miers and Alberto Gonzales were more like an echo chamber than advisers – playing little or no part in the decision making processes.
  • Karl Rove was a popularizer and a strategist, but not much of an adviser. …
  • Colin Powell was a "figurehead," not because he’s African American, but because he was a General. Cheney/Neocons hated the interference of the State Department, so they put a soldier in the position. Powell tried to give good counsel, but never really had the ear of the President or [more importantly] the top guns…
That left two sources of advice.
  • Dick Cheney and Donald Rumsfeld, who had been together in one form or another for 30 years, both in the Neocon orbit, predetermined to attack Saddam Hussein at the earliest juncture.
  • Condi Rice and Steven Hadley, Conservative Republicans, but rational – not part of the AEI/PNAC Cabal – neither of them the in the bulldog category.
Bush was the hole in the center of the doughnut – a deer in the headlights of 9/11. I don’t think Cheney lost to Bush. He lost to the reasonable people, Condoleeza Rice and Steven Hadley. There was no Bush for those first several years. As I recall it, from the starting gate it was Cheney’s show. He had his energy conference, and established himself as the go-to office of the White House. Bush was "on vacation" in Crawford, clearing brush and biking. When 9/11 happened, Cheney did the interviews, Bush made the scripted speeches. Rummy tasked Paul Wolfowitz to get the goods on the Hussein/Bin Laden connection at 2:30 PM on 9/11/2001. It was already a done deal. And, as Cheney said in his speech this week:
We could count on almost universal support back then, because everyone understood the environment we were in. We’d just been hit by a foreign enemy – leaving 3,000 Americans dead, more than we lost at Pearl Harbor. In Manhattan, we were staring at 16 acres of ashes. The Pentagon took a direct hit, and the Capitol or the White House were spared only by the Americans on Flight 93, who died bravely and defiantly.
For the rest of their first term, CheneyRumsfeld reigned supreme in spite of the escalating doubts about the war. To my mind, it began to unravel for him in late 2005 with the indictment of his Chief of Staff and the revelation of the unwaranted NSA Domestic Wiretapping. Finally, the voices of Condi [now Secretary of State] and Hadley [now National Security Adviser] began to be heard as the country finally woke up from the post-911 torpor. I’m not sure Bush was part of the change – more the forces of destiny. Maybe he woke up too. But I’m not quibbling with David Brooks piece. He doesn’t say directly that Cheney is insane, which is the point, but he does at least say:
When Cheney lambastes the change in security policy, he’s not really attacking the Obama administration. He’s attacking the Bush administration. In his speech on Thursday, he repeated in public a lot of the same arguments he had been making within the Bush White House as the policy decisions went more and more the other way.
I notice that in my recurrent rants about these last eight years, I rarely say "Bush." I always say "The Bush Administration." I think by that I mean two very specific things – Dick Cheney’s insane governance, and Karl Rove’s devious political wheelings and dealings. I don’t even include Conservative or Republican in that indictment, though they stayed on the Merry-Go-Round the whole way. And I don’t even include Bush in my thoughts about what to do about the Truth Commission or the Congressional Investigation/Court Proceedings. I just don’t see him as having much of a place in "The Bush Administration."

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