With Iran’s hard-line mullahs and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps unmistakably back in control, Israel’s decision of whether to use military force against Tehran’s nuclear weapons program is more urgent than ever.
Iran’s nuclear threat was never in doubt during its presidential campaign, but the post-election resistance raised the possibility of some sort of regime change. That prospect seems lost for the near future or for at least as long as it will take Iran to finalize a deliverable nuclear weapons capability. Accordingly, with no other timely option, the already compelling logic for an Israeli strike is nearly inexorable. Israel is undoubtedly ratcheting forward its decision-making process. President Obama is almost certainly not.
He still wants "engagement" [a particularly evocative term now] with Iran’s current regime. Last Thursday, the State Department confirmed that Secretary Hillary Clinton spoke to her Russian and Chinese counterparts about "getting Iran back to negotiating on some of these concerns that the international community has." This is precisely the view of Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, reflected in the Group of Eight communique the next day…
I haven’t got a clue how to deal with Iran, or Ahmadinejad, or for that matter – the whole Middle East. But I know one thing for sure. Don’t do whatever John Bolton says! I need to say that again, Don’t do whatever John Bolton says! Of all of them, he has a one track mind. All roads lead to "military force" "nuclear weapons" "nuclear threat" "regime change" "deliverable nuclear weapons capability" for him. We just did that [in Iraq] and it hasn’t worked out so well. If we leave those people in the streets we watched in Iran, they’re going to take care of things. If we do whatever John Bolton says!, we’re going to drive them to the dark side. These stuffed shirt, very un-hip neoconservatives still think that Reagan’s get tough military spending brought down the iron curtain. It was fax machines, cell phones, and the Internet. The thing that’s going to reform Iran is twitter, facebook, youtube, and flickr. The real threat in the world right now is John Bolton…
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