{"id":12427,"date":"2011-08-23T18:14:12","date_gmt":"2011-08-23T22:14:12","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/?p=12427"},"modified":"2011-08-23T21:14:11","modified_gmt":"2011-08-24T01:14:11","slug":"1-when-nmany","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/2011\/08\/23\/1-when-nmany\/","title":{"rendered":"1. <em>when n=many<\/em>&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p align=\"justify\">In the case mentioned in the last few posts, our discussions of her earlier life suggested to me that the process that later became manifest Schizophrenia had always been present. But had we seen her as a child, we wouldn&#8217;t have thought that. She didn&#8217;t even really fit the schizoid personality type described by Eugen Bleuler. And when her identity confusion began to show in college, her family worried, but had no inkling of what the future held &#8211; nor did the psychiatrists who saw her when she returned to Atlanta and was working at the Bank. It was only after she contemplated suicide and moved back home that the magnitude of her illness became apparent. And even then, the possibility of incipient Schizophrenia was only that &#8211; a possibility.<\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">In diseases with a chronic, deteriorating course, treatment strategies often involve Preventive Medicine &#8211; aiming to intervene before the disease has begun to take it&#8217;s toll. Classically, the Medical Model of Disease addresses the diagnosis and treatment of existing disease. The Preventive Medicine Model refines that traditional approach.                  <\/p>\n<table width=\"95%\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\" border=\"0\" align=\"center\">\n<tr>\n<td align=\"center\" colspan=\"2\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">PREVENTIVE MEDICINE<\/font><\/strong>                    <\/p>\n<hr size=\"1\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"140\" align=\"center\"><strong>Level<\/strong><\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><strong>Definition<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<hr size=\"1\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"top\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">Primary prevention<\/font><\/strong><\/td>\n<td align=\"justify\"><sup>Primary prevention strategies intend to avoid the development of disease. Most population-based health promotion activities are primary preventive measures.<\/sup><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"top\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">Secondary prevention<\/font><\/strong><\/td>\n<td align=\"justify\"><sup>Secondary prevention strategies attempt to diagnose and treat an existing disease in its early stages before it results in significant morbidity.<\/sup><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"top\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">Tertiary prevention<\/font><\/strong><\/td>\n<td align=\"justify\"><sup>These treatments aim to reduce the negative impact of established disease by restoring function and reducing disease-related complications.<\/sup><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"130\" valign=\"top\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">Quaternary prevention<\/font><\/strong><\/td>\n<td align=\"justify\"><sup>This term describes the set of health activities that mitigate or avoid the consequences of unnecessary or excessive interventions in the health system.<\/sup><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p align=\"justify\">So <strong><font color=\"#200020\">Primary Prevention<\/font><\/strong> is aimed at preventing disease ever occurring in the first place. Immunizing children for infectious diseases is a well known and powerful example. Vaccinations for smallpox or polio have essentially eliminated these formerly widespread virulent diseases. <strong><font color=\"#200020\">Secondary Prevention<\/font><\/strong> is more widely known as &#8216;early detection.&#8217; Well known examples are PAP Smears, Mammograms, or Colonoscopies &#8211; procedures designed to detect diseases at the earliest possible moment before they can do their damage. <strong><font color=\"#200020\">Tertiary Prevention <\/font><\/strong>is traditional medicine, treating an existing disease to prevent further damage or deterioration. <strong><font color=\"#200020\">Quartenary Prevention <\/font><\/strong>is the effort to minimize the negative impact of medical interventions &#8211; avoiding unnecessary surgery or preventing over-medication in psychiatric conditions. In psychiatry, Preventive Medicine was the rallying cry of the <strong>Community Mental Health Movement<\/strong> in the 1960s.<\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">In this era of gloom about the downside of antipsychotic medications &#8211; both first and second generation drugs &#8211; it&#8217;s easy to forget the historical fate of patients with Schizophrenic Illnesses. In earlier times they were killed as witches, shunned by society, or confined to institutions where many suffered the deteriorating fate described by Kraepelin. Before neuroleptics, the treatments were ominous in themselves: lifelong institutionalization, electro-convulsive therapy, insulin coma therapy, psychosurgery. The doctors who attended the patients were called &quot;alienists&quot; &#8211; highlighting the prevailing view of the afflicted. So the introduction of medication that attenuated psychosis was hailed as a near &quot;miracle,&quot; and it still looks that way sometimes. I still recall the day the patient I described earlier first appeared in my waiting room psychotic. She moved rapidly from laughter to terror, agitation to absolutely frozen, and the things she said were unintelligible. The sister who brought her was clearly terrified, almost as agitated as the patient. When I said, &quot;Let&#8217;s walk across the street to the hospital,&quot; the patient followed as if given a military command. And while they were doing the intake on the ward, I had another patient &#8211; her sister who was visibly shaken by finding her sister in such a state. Not many days later, when the patient was no longer actively psychotic, I happened to show up on the ward when her sister was visiting. She used the word &quot;miracle&quot; herself describing the change.<\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">But even in those salad days when the antipsychotics first appeared, it was obvious that the drugs were no cure. They are most effective in acute illness, their effectiveness waning depending on the type and chronicity of the illness.&nbsp; Around the same time, there was a lot of excitement about the success of early intervention strategies with combat neuroses in World War II. So Preventive Medicine came to mental health as the <strong>Community Mental Health Movement<\/strong>, the with government financed public mental health clinics all over the country. There were three goals: to provide ongoing services for the patients leaving the hospitals, to treat people in the community to prevent &quot;institutionalization,&quot; and to make mental health treatment readily available in a variety of mental illnesses to &quot;catch it early&quot; and treat it vigorously. Hospitals were for acute treatment short term and stabilization. It was a bold program &#8211; expensive, but not so expensive as the cost of maintaining the huge state mental hospitals of the era. And like all new paradigms, it began with an almost evangelical fervor, and then fell into decline when its limitations became apparent and the enthusiasm for paying for it dampened. <\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">Whatever the overall fate of the <strong>Community Mental Health Movement<\/strong>, the consensus remains that for Schizophrenia, early detection and vigorous treatment of the first episode is the gold standard. One of the leaders in designing and implementing early intervention&nbsp; programs is <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.iepa.org.au\/ContentPage.aspx?pageID=40\"><u><strong><font color=\"#660033\">Dr. Patrick McGorry<\/font><\/strong><\/u><\/a> in Australia:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<div align=\"center\"><u><strong><font color=\"#200020\">Early intervention in psychotic disorders:<br \/>          detection and treatment of the first episode and the critical early stages<\/font><\/strong><\/u><br \/>             <sup>by Patrick D McGorry, E\u00c3\u00b3in Killackey and Alison R Yung<\/sup><br \/>             <strong><font color=\"#200020\">Medical Journal of Australia<\/font><\/strong> 2007 187: S8&ndash;S10.  <\/div>\n<p>                 <\/p>\n<div align=\"justify\"><sup>&bull; The two main goals of early intervention in psychotic disorders are to reduce the period of time between the onset of psychosis and the commencement of effective treatment, and to provide consistent and comprehensive care during the critical early years of illness.<br \/>             &bull; Effective care during the critical early years involves proactive engagement and initiation of drug and psychosocial treatments, aiming for maximal symptomatic and functional recovery and the prevention of relapse.<br \/>             &bull; Over the past 15 years, an increasing number of specialised or streamed treatment delivery systems for early psychosis have been established around the world. There is now evidence that these services can reduce the duration of untreated psychosis and produce better symptomatic and functional recovery. In addition, they are more cost-effective than standard models of mental health care for these patients.<br \/>             &bull; Fully fledged, specialised early intervention services should be established, with full integration with local communities, as well as enhanced primary care systems focused on young people.<br \/>             <\/sup><\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<div align=\"justify\">Dr. McGorry and his colleagues also focused their attention on the prodromal syndrome, hoping to move prevention back a notch:<\/div>\n<div align=\"justify\">\n<blockquote>\n<div align=\"center\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.mja.com.au\/public\/issues\/187_07_011007\/yun10343_fm.html\"><u><strong><font color=\"#200020\">PACE: a specialised service for young people  at risk of psychotic disorders<\/font><\/strong><\/u><\/a><br \/>         <sup>by Alison R Yung, Patrick D McGorry, Shona M Francey, Barnaby Nelson, Kathryn Baker, Lisa J Phillips, Gregor Berger and G Paul Amminger<\/sup><br \/>         <strong><font color=\"#200020\">Medical Journal of Australia<\/font><\/strong> 2007 187: S43-S46.<\/div>\n<p>      <\/p>\n<div align=\"justify\"><sup>&bull; Intervention  in the prodromal phase of schizophrenia and related psychotic disorders  may prevent or delay the onset of these disorders, or reduce the  severity of the psychosis.<br \/>          &bull; Identifying  the schizophrenia prodrome is difficult, however, because of its  non-specific symptoms and the wide symptom variability between  individuals<br \/>          &bull; Over the past  15&nbsp;years, we have investigated the schizophrenia prodrome and developed  criteria for detecting people suspected of experiencing a prodromal  phase [ie, they are thought to be at imminent risk of onset of a  psychotic disorder]. About 35% of those meeting our criteria have  developed a psychotic disorder within 12&nbsp;months.<br \/>          &bull; We have  established a clinical service, the PACE [Personal Assessment and Crisis  Evaluation] Clinic, for people with suspected incipient psychosis, and  trialled interventions aimed at preventing or delaying the onset of  psychotic disorders.<br \/>          &bull; Our results  and studies in other countries seem to indicate that psychological and  psychosocial interventions, either alone or in combination with  pharmacotherapy, may be effective in at least delaying, if not  preventing, the onset of a psychotic disorder.<\/sup><\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<div align=\"justify\">I picked this latter article for the description of the downside of intervening prior to the onset of overt psychosis and how they defined the prodromal syndrome:<\/div>\n<blockquote>\n<div align=\"justify\"><sup><u><strong><span class=\"Hd\">Disadvantages of prodromal intervention<\/span><\/strong><\/u><\/sup><\/div>\n<div align=\"justify\"><sup>One  of the main problems with attempting prodromal intervention is the  possibility of &ldquo;false positives&rdquo;; that is, people who are identified as  being possibly prodromal [at risk of developing a psychotic disorder in  the near future], but who do not go on to develop the disorder. Those  who are in fact not at risk of developing a psychotic disorder [the  &ldquo;true false positives&rdquo;] may be harmed by being labelled &ldquo;prodromal&rdquo; or  at &ldquo;high risk of psychosis&rdquo; and may receive treatment unnecessarily.  Individuals who would have developed a psychotic disorder, but some  alteration in their circumstances [eg, stress reduction or cessation of  illicit drug use] prevented this from occurring have been termed &ldquo;false  false-positives&rdquo;. Clearly, it is impossible to distinguish between these two groups phenotypically at either baseline or follow-up.<\/p>\n<p> The non-specific nature of  the most common prodromal features adds to the likelihood of detecting  false positives. Indeed, the term &ldquo;prodrome&rdquo; should only be used once  the full-blown syndrome has developed.  Prior to diagnosis with a psychotic disorder, the prodrome should be  thought of as a risk factor for psychosis, not as a disease entity [ie,  the presence of the syndrome implies that the affected person is at that  time more likely to develop psychosis in the near future than someone  without the syndrome]. However, if the symptoms resolve, then this  degree of increased risk may remit as well. In an attempt to deal with  these issues, we have coined a new term &mdash; the &ldquo;ultra high risk&rdquo; [UHR  state. We have developed UHR criteria that attempt to identify  individuals with a strong likelihood of developing a psychotic disorder  in the near future [eg, within 12&nbsp;months].<\/sup><\/div>\n<p> <\/p>\n<div><sup> <strong><u>Identification of the ultra high risk population<\/u><\/strong><\/sup><\/div>\n<div align=\"justify\"><sup> Due  to the non-specific nature of prodromal symptoms, there are problems  using these features alone to identify people thought to be at imminent  risk of onset of psychotic disorder. Even psychotic-like experiences  [attenuated or subthreshold psychotic symptoms] have been found to occur  commonly in the general population, especially among adolescents and  young adults.  Using symptoms alone would result in a high false-positive rate. Thus,  some added criteria were needed to focus on those most likely to be in  the prodromal phase of a psychotic disorder. We added the risk factor of age, as the age of highest incidence of psychotic disorder is adolescence and young adulthood.  Clinical need for care was another factor. Thus, the young person must  be seeking help, or be identified by someone, such as a parent or  teacher, as needing help. This requirement reduces the chance that a  well person who happens to have psychotic-like experiences, but who is  otherwise functioning adequately and is not distressed, will be  unnecessarily treated for imminent psychosis.<\/p>\n<p>  We hypothesised that  individuals with these multiple risk factors for psychosis would have a  high likelihood of developing a psychotic disorder within a short time  period. To test this theory, specific operationalised UHR criteria were  developed to identify a young person at risk for psychotic disorder. The UHR criteria require that  a person is aged between 14&nbsp;and 25&nbsp;years, is referred for health care  to a psychiatric service, and meets the criteria for one or more of the  following groups:<\/sup><\/div>\n<ul>\n<div align=\"justify\"><sup>&bull; Attenuated psychotic symptoms group: patients have experienced subthreshold, attenuated positive psychotic symptoms during the past year;<\/sup><\/div>\n<div align=\"justify\"><sup>&bull; Brief limited intermittent psychotic symptoms group: patients  have experienced episodes of frank psychotic symptoms that have not  lasted longer than a week and have spontaneously abated; or<\/sup><\/div>\n<div align=\"justify\"><sup>&bull; Trait and state risk factor group: patients  have schizotypal personality disorder or have a first-degree relative  with a psychotic disorder and have experienced a significant decrease in  functioning during the previous year.<\/sup><\/div>\n<\/ul>\n<div align=\"justify\"><sup> These criteria are described in more detail elsewhere. To further reduce the risk that well functioning individuals will be  identified, since 2006&nbsp;we have also required that all patients show a  significant deterioration in social or occupational functioning.<\/sup><\/div>\n<p> <\/p>\n<div><sup><u><strong>Validation of the UHR criteria<\/strong><\/u><\/sup><\/div>\n<div align=\"justify\"><sup> To  test our model, we established a specialised service for the UHR group &mdash;  the PACE [Personal Assessment and Crisis Evaluation] Clinic &mdash; in  Melbourne in 1994. This service was the first clinical and research  clinic in the world for individuals considered to have incipient  psychosis.<\/p>\n<p> Using the UHR criteria, we found a rate of transition to psychosis within 12&nbsp;months of about 35%,  a rate several thousand-fold greater than the expected incidence rate  for first-episode psychosis in the general population. This occurred  despite the provision of case management and antidepressant medication  if required. The primary diagnostic outcome of the group who developed  psychosis was schizophrenia [65%]. The UHR criteria used in PACE have  been adopted by a number of other centres around the world.<\/sup><\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<div align=\"justify\">Dr. McGorry and his group have successful early intervention programs in place. They&#8217;ve worked at defining the prodromal syndrome. He was chosen as the Australian of the Year in 2010. He convinced the Australian government to fund a $400 M program for a massive preventive intervention program. He&#8217;d done his homework. I suppose if you were going to pick someone to do a study on medication intervention in the prodromal syndrome, you couldn&#8217;t find a better qualified candidate. But that&#8217;s not what the headlines say now. They have the phrase, &quot;<strong><font color=\"#200020\">The McGorry Contraversy<\/font><\/strong>&quot; &#8211; coming next&#8230;<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In the case mentioned in the last few posts, our discussions of her earlier life suggested to me that the process that later became manifest Schizophrenia had always been present. But had we seen her as a child, we wouldn&#8217;t have thought that. She didn&#8217;t even really fit the schizoid personality type described by Eugen [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12427","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12427","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12427"}],"version-history":[{"count":35,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12427\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":12462,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12427\/revisions\/12462"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12427"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12427"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12427"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}