{"id":22085,"date":"2012-04-13T11:00:35","date_gmt":"2012-04-13T15:00:35","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/?p=22085"},"modified":"2012-04-13T07:12:10","modified_gmt":"2012-04-13T11:12:10","slug":"22085","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/2012\/04\/13\/22085\/","title":{"rendered":"it just didn&#8217;t work&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<br \/>\n<blockquote>\n<div align=\"center\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.bmj.com\/highwire\/filestream\/577609\/field_highwire_article_pdf\/0.pdf\" target=\"_blank\"><u><strong><font color=\"#200020\"> Early detection and intervention evaluation for peopleat risk of psychosis: multisite randomised controlled trial.<\/font><\/strong><\/u><\/a><br \/>       <sup>by Morrison AP, French P, Stewart SL, Birchwood M, Fowler D, Gumley AI, Jones PB, Bentall RP, Lewis SW, Murray GK, Patterson P, Brunet K, Conroy J, Parker S, Reilly T, Byrne R, Davies LM, Dunn G.<\/sup><br \/>       <strong><font color=\"#0044dd\">British Medical Journal<\/font><\/strong>. 2012 Apr 5;344 <br \/>       [<strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.bmj.com\/highwire\/filestream\/577609\/field_highwire_article_pdf\/0.pdf\" target=\"_blank\"><u><font color=\"#200020\">full text on-line<\/font><\/u><\/a><\/strong>]<\/div>\n<p>      <strong><font color=\"#200020\"> <\/font><\/strong><\/p>\n<div align=\"justify\"><sup><strong><font color=\"#200020\">OBJECTIVE<\/font><\/strong>: To  determine whether cognitive therapy is effective in preventing the  worsening of emerging psychotic symptoms experienced by help seeking  young people deemed to be at risk for serious conditions such as schizophrenia.<br \/>        <strong><u><font color=\"#200020\">DESIGN<\/font><\/u><\/strong>: Multisite single blind randomised controlled trial.<br \/>        <u><strong><font color=\"#200020\">SETTING<\/font><\/strong><\/u>: Diverse services at five UK sites.<br \/>        <u><strong><font color=\"#200020\">PARTICIPANTS<\/font><\/strong><\/u>: 288 participants aged 14-35 years (mean 20.74, SD 4.34 years) at high riskof psychosis:  144 were assigned to cognitive therapy plus monitoring of mental state  and 144 to monitoring of mental state only. Participants were  followed-up for a minimum of 12 months and a maximum of 24 months.<br \/>        <u><strong><font color=\"#200020\">INTERVENTION<\/font><\/strong><\/u>: Cognitive  therapy (up to 26 (mean 9.1) sessions over six months) plus monitoring  of mental state compared with monitoring of mental state only.<br \/>        <u><strong><font color=\"#200020\">MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES<\/font><\/strong><\/u>: Primary outcome was scores on the comprehensive assessment of at risk mental states (CAARMS), which provides a dichotomous transition to psychosis score and ordinal scores for severity of psychotic symptoms and  distress. Secondary outcomes included emotional dysfunction and quality  of life.<br \/>        <u><strong><font color=\"#000000\">RESULTS<\/font><\/strong><\/u>: Transition to psychosis based on intention to treat was analysed using discrete time survival  models. Overall, the prevalence of transition was lower than expected  (23\/288; 8%), with no significant difference between the two groups  (proportional odds ratio 0.73, 95% confidence interval 0.32 to 1.68).  Changes in severity of symptoms and distress, as well as secondary  outcomes, were analysed using random effects regression (analysis of  covariance) adjusted for site and baseline symptoms. Distress from  psychotic symptoms did not differ (estimated difference at 12 months  -3.00, 95% confidence interval -6.95 to 0.94) but their severity was  significantly reduced in the group assigned to cognitive therapy  (estimated between group effect size at 12 months -3.67, -6.71 to -0.64,  P=0.018).<br \/>        <u><strong><font color=\"#000000\">CONCLUSIONS<\/font><\/strong><\/u>: Cognitive therapy plus monitoring did not significantly reduce transition to psychosis or symptom related distress but reduced the severity of psychotic symptoms in young people at high risk. Most participants in both groups improved over time. The results have important implications for the at risk mental state concept.<\/sup><\/div>\n<div align=\"center\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" height=\"104\" border=\"0\" width=\"400\" vspace=\"5\" src=\"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/images\/manchester-1.gif\" \/><\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<div align=\"justify\">Well, the same thing happened in Manchester England that happened in Australia. The preliminary studies [<u><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/2011\/08\/28\/2-when-na-few\/\" target=\"_blank\"><font color=\"#200020\"><em>2. when n=a few<\/em>&hellip;<\/font><\/a><\/strong><\/u>] looked good, but when they tried to take it to Broadway, it just didn&#8217;t work. There&#8217;s only one conclusion to be reached unfortunately. We don&#8217;t know how to identify people who are going to become Schizophrenic in advance, at least not well enough to count. And treatment with the cognitive therapies tried so far doesn&#8217;t help. That&#8217;s too bad. Any dent would&#8217;ve been a welcome finding. This study, instead, simply confirms the Australian finding:<\/div>\n<blockquote>\n<div align=\"center\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/pubmed\/21034687#\" target=\"_blank\"><u><strong><font color=\"#200020\">Randomized controlled trial of interventions for young people at ultra high risk for psychosis: 6-month analysis.<\/font><\/strong><\/u><\/a><br \/>                                  <sup>by  Yung AR, Phillips LJ, Nelson B, Francey SM, PanYuen H, Simmons MB, Ross  ML, Kelly D, Baker K, Amminger GP, Berger G, Thompson AD, Thampi A, and  McGorry PD.<\/sup><br \/>                                  <strong><font color=\"#200020\">Journal of Clinical Psychiatry<\/font><\/strong>. 2011 72(4):430-40.<\/div>\n<p>     <\/p>\n<div align=\"justify\"><sup><u><strong><font color=\"#200020\">OBJECTIVE<\/font><\/strong><\/u>:  Cognitive  therapy and\/or low-dose antipsychotic administered during  the prodromal  phase of schizophrenia may prevent or delay the onset of  full-blown  illness. However, it is unclear which of these treatments  are most  effective, how long treatment should be given, and whether  effects will  be sustained over a prolonged period.<\/sup>                           <\/div>\n<div align=\"justify\"><sup>  <u><strong><font color=\"#200020\">METHOD<\/font><\/strong><\/u>:  In order to  examine these issues, we conducted a randomized controlled  trial of  cognitive therapy + risperidone; cognitive therapy + placebo;  and  supportive therapy + placebo in young people at ultra high risk  for  developing a psychotic disorder (that is, putatively prodromal).  The  main outcome was transition to psychotic disorder, with level of   symptoms and functioning the secondary outcomes. This article reports   the interim 6-month follow-up results. The study was conducted from   August 2000 to May 2007.<\/sup><\/div>\n<div align=\"justify\"><sup>  <u><strong><font color=\"#200020\">RESULTS<\/font><\/strong><\/u>:  Of a possible 464  eligible ultra high risk individuals, 115 were  recruited to the  randomized controlled trial (cognitive therapy +  risperidone, n = 43;  cognitive therapy + placebo, n = 44; and  supportive therapy + placebo, n  = 28). An additional 78 individuals  agreed to follow-up assessments but  not to randomization (&quot;monitoring  group,&quot; n = 78). At 6 months, 8 of  the  115 participants (7.0%) and 4 of the monitoring group (5.1%) had   developed psychotic disorder. There were no significant differences   between the 3 randomized groups (log rank test, P = .92) or between all 4   groups (log rank test, P = .93). There was also no difference between   the 4 groups in secondary measures, with all groups showing a reduction   in symptoms and increased functioning.<\/sup>                           <\/div>\n<div align=\"justify\"><sup>  <u><strong><font color=\"#200020\">CONCLUSIONS<\/font><\/strong><\/u>:  Rates  of transition to psychosis were lower than expected,  particularly in  the control supportive therapy + placebo group. This  may have accounted  for the negative finding, as the sample was  therefore underpowered to  find any difference between groups.  Alternatively, it may be that all  treatments were equally effective or  equally ineffective at 6 months.<\/sup><\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<div align=\"justify\">I&#8217;m sorry it didn&#8217;t work. Schizophrenia can be a show-stopping disease and any prevention would&#8217;ve been good to see. Recruitment for this study ended almost three years ago. It&#8217;s hard for me to believe that the DSM-5 Task Force hasn&#8217;t known this was coming for a while and yet they&#8217;ve persisted in holding on to the Attenuated Psychosis Syndrome diagnosis. Now, Drs. McGorry, Yung, and the Manchester group oppose its inclusion:<\/div>\n<blockquote>\n<div align=\"justify\"><sup>&quot;In summary, it is important that future research examines the developmental processes involved in both transition to psychosis and resilience within populations in an at risk mental state, but it seems highly premature to introduce a diagnostic category into DSM-V on the basis of risk of psychosis, given the low transition rate and high potential for natural recovery.&quot;<\/sup><\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<div align=\"justify\">While it&#8217;s difficult for me to imagine that the DSM-5 Task Force will keep the Attenuated Psychosis Syndrome diagnostic category, they&#8217;ve shown little willingness to alter their course so far. At this point, trying to move forward with either removing the Bereavement Exclusion or the addition of the Attenuated Psychosis Syndrome would be destructive to the profession. They are in a bind of their own creation, and this publication offers them a way out of it. It also offers them a chance to self-destruct&#8230;<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Early detection and intervention evaluation for peopleat risk of psychosis: multisite randomised controlled trial. by Morrison AP, French P, Stewart SL, Birchwood M, Fowler D, Gumley AI, Jones PB, Bentall RP, Lewis SW, Murray GK, Patterson P, Brunet K, Conroy J, Parker S, Reilly T, Byrne R, Davies LM, Dunn G. British Medical Journal. 2012 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-22085","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22085","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22085"}],"version-history":[{"count":19,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22085\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":22089,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22085\/revisions\/22089"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22085"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22085"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22085"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}