{"id":3528,"date":"2009-10-01T20:33:00","date_gmt":"2009-10-02T00:33:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/?p=3528"},"modified":"2009-10-06T22:20:21","modified_gmt":"2009-10-07T02:20:21","slug":"tinkle-on-economics-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/2009\/10\/01\/tinkle-on-economics-2\/","title":{"rendered":"<em>tinkle on economics<\/em>&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" border=\"0\" src=\"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/images\/spending.gif\" \/><br \/><sup>Total Government Spending [1940-2007]<\/sup><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">In the last several posts, I&#8217;ve been exploring the Republican Talking Point that Democrats are the &quot;<strong><font color=\"#300030\">tax and spend<\/font><\/strong>&quot; party. In <u><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/wp-admin\/..\/index.php\/2009\/09\/28\/war-on-talking-points\/\"><strong>war on Talking Points&hellip;<\/strong><\/a><\/u>, I concluded that the &quot;spend&quot; charge is false. Looking at this graph of total spending plotted as % of the Gross Domestic Product, it&#8217;s apparent that in the both parties have participated in the escalating spending. In fact, the only exceptions are the Democrats &#8211; Bill Clinton and to a lesser extent, Jimmy Carter. Another related Republican Talking Point is &quot;<strong><font color=\"#300300\">big government<\/font><\/strong>.&quot; Looking at the graph, one can hardly argue that government isn&#8217;t expanding, at least in terms of costs.&nbsp; But again, it doesn&#8217;t look like it&#8217;s a partisan issue. Both parties seem to be equal opportunity spenders. And when Clinton actually reversed the trend, the Bush Administration pointed us back upwards. <\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">When it comes to taxation, things are a bit more difficult to pin down in the pre-Reagan period. In <strong><u><a href=\"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/2009\/09\/29\/mr-hypothetical-goes-to-washington\">Mr. Hypothetical goes to Washington&hellip;<\/a><\/u><\/strong>, I tried to look at the partisan question. Once FDR put the graduated Income Tax in place weighted heavily towards the wealthy, the only&nbsp; pre-Reagan President to make much of a change was Lyndon Johnson when he assumed the remainder of Kennedy&#8217;s term. Neither Eisenhower, Nixon, or Ford did anything to change it. The Democrats&#8217; reputation as heavy taxers seems primarily based on FDR&#8217;s New Deal taxation scheme in the face of the Great Depression and World WarII.<\/p>\n<div align=\"justify\">In my last post, I expressed the Reagan Tax Reform in the standard way using a version of <a href=\"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/images\/tax6.gif\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>this graph<\/strong><\/a>, but it&#8217;s hard for me to even understand &#8211; and I drew it. So I went at it from a different direction. The graphs below show the Tax Brackets on the vertical axis and the Adjusted Gross Income on the horizontal axis [Note: $100K = $100,000.00, all values corrected to 2007 dollars]. The years selected represent:<\/div>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div align=\"justify\"><strong>1979<\/strong> &#8211; the Tax Structure from 1964 through 1979 [Johnson, Nixon, Ford, Carter]<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div align=\"justify\"><strong>1987<\/strong> &#8211; Regan changed things gradually.This one is where he ended up<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div align=\"justify\"><strong>1992<\/strong> &#8211; George H.W. Bush continued the cutting<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div align=\"justify\"><strong>1996<\/strong> &#8211; Clinton&#8217;s Revisions<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div align=\"justify\"><strong>2005<\/strong> &#8211; George W. Bush&#8217;s tax cuts<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" border=\"0\" src=\"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/images\/tax12.gif\" \/><\/div>\n<div align=\"justify\">and for good measure&#8230;    <\/div>\n<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" border=\"0\" src=\"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/images\/tax13.gif\" \/><br \/>   <sup>The 1979 and 1987 Tax Structures compared<\/sup><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">While I don&#8217;t agree that the tax structure in 1979 was totally from the Democrats, I do agree that it was in need of revision. Even though the wealthy have plenty of money, it seems unreasonable to tax anyone at 70%. But Reagan&#8217;s Tax Reform erred way in the other direction. It was a massive intervention. He returned us to the days of Calvin Coolidge [when Ronnie was just a lad]. Like most of Reagan&#8217;s changes &#8211; tax reform, deregulation, the banks &#8211; he seemed determined to undo FDR&#8217;s New Deal from 45 years before. And that&#8217;s exactly what he did.<\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">No wonder he is reverred by the wealthy. The top end wage earners doubled their take home pay under Reagan [30% tp 61.5%]. And as many of us have <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/images\/income_shares.gif\"><strong>demonstrated<\/strong><\/a>, the wealthy have prospered greatly thereafter [unlike the rest of us who have stayed the same]. Remember &quot;<strong><font color=\"#300030\">trickle down economics<\/font><\/strong>&quot; from the Reagan era? Somehow these massive tax cuts for the wealthy were supposed to help everyone because their prosperity would &#8230; well, it would just <strong><font color=\"#300030\">trickle down<\/font><\/strong>. It looks more like money <strong><font color=\"#300030\">trickled up<\/font><\/strong> to me [or maybe we got <strong><font color=\"#300030\">tinkled on<\/font><\/strong>, to paraphrase <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/2009\/09\/26\/the-rich-getting-richer\/#comment-150762\"><strong>Carl&#8217;s comment<\/strong><\/a>]. <\/p>\n<p align=\"center\">&nbsp;<img decoding=\"async\" border=\"0\" src=\"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/images\/tax9.gif\" \/><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">Revenue floundered, as one might have expected [shown here corrected to 2007 dollars]. And Reagan continued to spend, resulting in record-breaking deficits. In the end, it wasn&#8217;t really a tax cut at all. It was a give-away because the lost revenue was simply rolled into the National Debt. He might as well have declared it a war on taxes, because he ran up the debt in the wartime way:<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" border=\"0\" src=\"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/images\/tax10.gif\" \/>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">Clinton dealt with the Reagan Tax Reform in a politically sensible way. He simply added two modest Tax Brackets on top of Reagan&#8217;s structure, and he cut spending dramatically. As a result, we pulled into the black briefly, until George Junior reversed both processes [increased spending and decreased revenue] putting us solidly back in the red [Note: These graphs leave off the financial disaster a year ago for clarity, but the national debt soared with the bank bailout].<\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\"><strong>Addendum<\/strong>: And what did Reagan spend our money on? A lot of it was &quot;wartime&quot; spending for the war that wasn&#8217;t [the darker graph is military spending]&#8230;<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" border=\"0\" src=\"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/images\/tax14.gif\" \/>  <\/p>\n<div align=\"justify\"><em>I&#8217;ll take another breather. Graphing is hard work. In my next post, I&#8217;m determined to wrap this up by saying what I think it means without all the number crunching [well, maybe a little]&#8230; <\/em><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Total Government Spending [1940-2007] In the last several posts, I&#8217;ve been exploring the Republican Talking Point that Democrats are the &quot;tax and spend&quot; party. In war on Talking Points&hellip;, I concluded that the &quot;spend&quot; charge is false. Looking at this graph of total spending plotted as % of the Gross Domestic Product, it&#8217;s apparent that [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3528","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3528","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3528"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3528\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3528"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3528"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3528"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}