{"id":35546,"date":"2013-04-21T13:09:31","date_gmt":"2013-04-21T17:09:31","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/?p=35546"},"modified":"2013-04-21T13:13:17","modified_gmt":"2013-04-21T17:13:17","slug":"translating-speculations","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/2013\/04\/21\/translating-speculations\/","title":{"rendered":"translating speculations&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p align=\"center\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" border=\"0\" width=\"520\" height=\"274\" src=\"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/images\/boston.gif\" \/><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">Last week, we watched in awe as the authorities were able to mobilize technology to solve a pretty sticky problem &#8211; finding the Boston bombers. By the third day, there was enough mass video assembled to identify them on national media [upper right]. I was personally impressed by that top shot from an <strong><font color=\"#200020\">iPhone<\/font><\/strong> [suspect far left]. When the search was underway, they showed the middle image from <strong><font color=\"#200020\">Bing<\/font><\/strong> that identified the suspect&#8217;s boat hiding place. I looked it up on my <strong><font color=\"#200020\">Google Earth<\/font><\/strong>, and the picture showed the boat trailer [obviously from a different flyover]. Then they were watching the suspect and measuring the amount of gas in the boat&#8217;s tank using a <strong><font color=\"#200020\">combat-tested infrared camera<\/font><\/strong> from a helicopter. By bed-time of the fourth day, there was a picture of the suspect getting out of his hiding place, after a <strong><font color=\"#200020\">robot arm<\/font><\/strong> pulled back the cover. Techno-sleuthing was on parade. The tools were there, they fit the problem to a tee, and you could just feel that they knew what they were doing..                   <\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">In between the happenings in Boston, I was reading Neuroskeptic&#8217;s post about some difficulties analyzing fMRI data [<a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.discovermagazine.com\/neuroskeptic\/2013\/04\/18\/fmri-more-voxels-more-problems\/\">fMRI: More Voxels, More Problems?<\/a>]. His post was out of my league, but it set me thinking about the ubiquitous topic of neuroimaging [as I watched the mass videography poring out of Boston] and I thought about our love affair techno-anything.&nbsp; Back in the 1980s, the early neoKraepelinians couldn&#8217;t stop talking about neuroimaging [then, it was <strong><font color=\"#200020\">PET scans<\/font><\/strong>] and it&#8217;s still right on the tip of their tongues [now it&#8217;s <strong><font color=\"#200020\">fMRI scans<\/font><\/strong> or the <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?feature=player_embedded&#038;v=i2W570VgV6I\">Human Connectome Project<\/a>]. The allure of seeing the brain in action and the brain&#8217;s circuitry is a Siren&#8217;s song we yearn to follow: <\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" border=\"0\" width=\"519\" height=\"348\" src=\"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/images\/fmri.gif\" \/><\/p>\n<div align=\"justify\">But is something clinically useful just around the bend? just around the decade? or even way on down the road? In 2002, the DSM-5 Task Force aimed for <em>just around the corner<\/em>, and it didn&#8217;t work out. Can the NIMH RDoC run that same line again and justify these <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/pmc\/articles\/PMC3341647\/\">postulates<\/a>?             <\/div>\n<ul><sup><strong>                       <\/p>\n<li>\n<div align=\"justify\"><font color=\"#800000\">First, mental illnesses are presumed to be disorders of brain circuits.<\/font><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div align=\"justify\">Secondly, it is assumed that the tools of  clinical neuroscience, including functional neuroimaging,  electrophysiology, and new methods   for measuring neural connections  can be used to identify dysfunction in   neural circuits.<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div align=\"justify\">Third, the  RDoC approach presumes that data from   genetics research and clinical  neuroscience will yield biosignatures   that will augment clinical signs  and symptoms for the purposes of   clinical intervention and  management&hellip;<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<p>                       <\/strong><\/sup><\/ul>\n<div align=\"justify\">or saying <a href=\"http:\/\/www.scientificamerican.com\/article.cfm?id=new-dsm5-ignores-biology-mental-illness\" target=\"_blank\">this<\/a>:<\/div>\n<ul>\n<div align=\"justify\"><sup><strong>&#8230; a fundamental flaw: it says nothing about the  biological  underpinnings of mental disorders. In the past, that  shortcoming  reflected the science. For most of the <em>DSM<\/em>&lsquo;s history, investigators have not had a detailed understanding of what causes mental illness. That excuse is no longer valid. Neuroscientists now understand some  of the ways that<font color=\"#800000\"> brain circuits<\/font> for memory, emotion and attention  malfunction in various mental disorders&#8230;<\/strong><\/sup><\/div>\n<\/ul>\n<div align=\"justify\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">This kind of rhetoric has an all too familiar ring.<\/font><\/strong> I call it <strong><font color=\"#200020\">future&middot;think<\/font><\/strong> but the Disney metaphors like <strong><font color=\"#200020\">fantasy&middot;land<\/font><\/strong> or <strong><font color=\"#200020\">tomorrow&middot;land<\/font><\/strong> work just as well. The postulate, <strong><font color=\"#200020\">mental illnesses are presumed to be disorders of brain circuits<\/font><\/strong>, is not that far off away from the previous chemical imbalance theories, perhaps even more speculative. It&#8217;s similar in that <strong><font color=\"#200020\">what-we-are-currently-able-to-measure<\/font><\/strong> is the target du jour. It&#8217;s the available technology that generates the hypothesis, rather than technology being engaged to solve a problem [like in the FBI&#8217;s approach to the Boston bombing]. We heard this brain circuitry hypothesis being moved to the front burner by Dr. Insel not long after the DSM-5 Task Force had bailed out on their plan for a biological manual, and PHARMA was moving on from CNS drug development:<\/div>\n<blockquote>\n<div align=\"center\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.dkmic.de\/bibliothek\/literatur\/6.%20Brain%20circuitry%20model%20for%20mental%20illness%20will%20transform%20management,%20NIH%20mental%20health%20director%20says.pdf\">Brain circuitry model for mental illness will transform management, NIH mental health director says<\/a><br \/>                    <strong><font color=\"#0033ff\">British Medical Journal<\/font><\/strong><br \/>                    by Caroline White<br \/>                   1 September 2011 <\/div>\n<p>    <\/p>\n<div align=\"justify\"><sup><strong>The field of mental health is on the  cusp of a revolution, which is set to transform the diagnosis and  treatment of mental illness and reverse the lack of major progress made  in curbing associated ill health and death over the past 100 years, the  director of the US National Institute of Mental Health, has claimed&hellip; The seismic shift had been driven by  what he described as three &ldquo;revolutionary changes&rdquo; in thinking, the  first of which was that <font color=\"#800000\">mental illness was increasingly being recognised as a disorder of brain circuitry, rather than as a chemical imbalance<\/font>, thanks to neuroimaging techniques and the discovery of some key biomarkers&hellip;<\/strong><\/sup><\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<div align=\"justify\">And in a recent presentation by Dr. Dennis Charney, this whole line of thinking was elaborated in much greater detail [<a href=\"http:\/\/icahn.mssm.edu\/static_files\/MSSM\/Files\/About%20Us\/Deans%20Office\/Innovations%20in%20Psychiary%20Symposium%202-1-13_FINAL.pdf\" target=\"_blank\"><em><strong><font color=\"#200020\">A Roadmap for Innovation in Psychiatry<\/font><\/strong><\/em><\/a>][see also <a href=\"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/2013\/03\/05\/some-time-back\/\" target=\"_blank\">some time back&hellip;<\/a>].<\/div>\n<div align=\"center\"><a href=\"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/2013\/03\/05\/some-time-back\/\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" border=\"0\" width=\"400\" vspace=\"7\" src=\"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/images\/charney-2.gif\" \/><\/a>&nbsp;<\/div>\n<div align=\"justify\">In <a href=\"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/2013\/04\/17\/irrational-exuberance\/\">irrational exuberance&hellip;<\/a>, I was talking about feeling gamed by all of this, like there&#8217;s some line that&#8217;s being doled out from multiple sources &#8211; the APA, the DSM-5 Task Force, the NIMH, the RDoC, and academic psychiatry. I suspect that the &quot;<strong>cusp of a revolution<\/strong>&quot; and the &quot;<strong>seismic shift<\/strong>&quot; are driven more by the petering out of the chemical imbalance paradigms and by the disillusionment in the psychopharmacology it generated than because of any tangible scientific advances. The leadership in all of these organizations have grown up together, have spent the last twenty-five years in a climate promoting a stream of <em>me-too<\/em> medications now run dry together, and seem to be struggling to maintain their place at the helm. I don&#8217;t see much on that slide that&#8217;s likely to keep them there &#8211; just a lot of speculation, reframing, and <strong><font color=\"#200020\">future&middot;think<\/font><\/strong>. They seem to be racing en masse to their cherished <em>translation<\/em> phase prior to having any basic understanding to translate &#8211; <em>translating speculations<\/em>&#8230;<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Last week, we watched in awe as the authorities were able to mobilize technology to solve a pretty sticky problem &#8211; finding the Boston bombers. By the third day, there was enough mass video assembled to identify them on national media [upper right]. I was personally impressed by that top shot from an iPhone [suspect [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-35546","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35546","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=35546"}],"version-history":[{"count":41,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35546\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":42770,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35546\/revisions\/42770"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=35546"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=35546"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=35546"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}