{"id":35615,"date":"2013-04-22T17:40:14","date_gmt":"2013-04-22T21:40:14","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/?p=35615"},"modified":"2013-04-23T11:47:23","modified_gmt":"2013-04-23T15:47:23","slug":"fuzzy-math","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/2013\/04\/22\/fuzzy-math\/","title":{"rendered":"fuzzy math&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<br \/>\n<blockquote>\n<div align=\"center\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/psychnews.psychiatryonline.org\/newsArticle.aspx?articleid=1680429\">More Graduates Choose Psychiatry in 2013 Match<\/a><br \/>             <strong><font color=\"#200020\">Psychiatric News<\/font><\/strong><br \/>              by Mark Moran<br \/>             April 19, 2013<\/div>\n<p>             <\/p>\n<div align=\"justify\"><sup><strong>A  new &ldquo;all in&ldquo; policy for this year&rsquo;s match, along with an increase in  the number of medical students, contributes to the increase in graduates  choosing psychiatry. A total of 681 U.S. medical student seniors  &ldquo;matched&rdquo; into psychiatry residencies in this year&rsquo;s National Resident  Matching Program [NRMP]. <font color=\"#990000\">This is an increase from 616 in 2012, or  from 3.9 percent to 4.2 percent of seniors selecting careers in  psychiatry.<\/font> The uptick in graduates entering the profession is good news  for psychiatry, reversing a trend of several years in which the numbers  were dropping. Last year&rsquo;s figure of 616 was a decrease from 640 the  year before and 670 in 2010&#8230;<\/strong><\/sup><\/div>\n<p>          <\/p>\n<div align=\"justify\"><sup><strong>This year the NRMP instituted an &ldquo;all in&rdquo;  policy whereby residencies were required to enter all of their residency  slots in the match. In past years, programs could participate in the  NRMP by registering and filling some available residency positions,  while also reserving some to be filled outside the match. In short,  programs could decide which positions were &ldquo;in&rdquo; the match and which were  &ldquo;out.&rdquo; So with the &ldquo;all in&rdquo; policy there were more  slots offered in the match: in psychiatry, 1,360 positions were offered [compared with 1,118 in 2012]. And of the 1,360 slots, 1,330 were  filled&#8230;<\/strong><\/sup><\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<div align=\"justify\">That&#8217;s odd. When I looked at it <a href=\"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/2013\/03\/15\/march-madness\/\" target=\"_blank\">a month ago<\/a> when the numbers came out, I saw that the number ooched up slightly, but it looked like the percentage of US Seniors picking psychiatry hadn&#8217;t changed. Oh well, I guess my slide rule&#8217;s finally getting old. But that &quot;all in one&quot; policy probably does explain why the total slots available went up:            <\/div>\n<ul>\n<div align=\"justify\"><sup><strong><font color=\"#200020\">March 15, 2013<br \/>    <\/font><\/strong><\/sup><\/div>\n<div align=\"center\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" border=\"0\" width=\"321\" vspace=\"5\" height=\"316\" src=\"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/images\/residency-4.gif\" \/><\/div>\n<div align=\"justify\"><sup><strong><font color=\"#200020\">For reasons I don&rsquo;t really understand, psychiatry  is offering a lot more positions this year [1360, up from&nbsp; 1118]. In  spite of that, the flat-line continues in the recruitment of graduating  US Seniors [681]. One can&rsquo;t predict much from that because students  choosing psychiatry vary a lot from year to year. But it has been a  decade of &quot;flatness.&quot; The difference is being made up by non-US Seniors,  primarily FMG [foreign medical graduates]&#8230;<\/font><\/strong><\/sup><\/div>\n<\/ul>\n<div align=\"justify\">So, back to the <strong><font color=\"#200020\">Psychiatric News<\/font><\/strong> article:         <\/div>\n<blockquote>\n<div align=\"justify\"><sup><strong>Sidney Weissman, M.D., a former APA Trustee  and president of the American Association of Directors of Psychiatric  Residency Training, noted that the inclusion of all available slots in  the Match does not necessarily reflect an actual increase in residency  opportunities. <font color=\"#990000\">Meanwhile, there has been an increase in U.S. seniors  from 16,527 in 2012 to 17,856 in 2013<\/font>&#8230;<\/strong><\/sup><\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p align=\"justify\">Wait a minute. Somehow, those percentages up above [3.9% and 4.2%] don&#8217;t look quite right:      <\/p>\n<table cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\" border=\"0\" align=\"center\" width=\"70%\">\n<tr>\n<td align=\"center\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">Year<br \/>        <\/font><\/strong><\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">US Seniors<\/font><\/strong><\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">to Psychiatry<br \/>        <\/font><\/strong><\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">Actual %<\/font><\/strong><\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><strong><font color=\"#990000\">Reported %<\/font><\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\">\n<hr \/>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"center\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">2012<\/font><\/strong><\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">16,527<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">616<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">3.73%<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><strong><font color=\"#990000\">3.9%<\/font><\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"center\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">2013<\/font><\/strong><\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">17,856<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">681<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">3.81%<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><strong><font color=\"#990000\">4.2%<\/font><\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>   <\/p>\n<div align=\"justify\">Because they aren&#8217;t. Old slide rule reclaimed. The moral of the story isn&#8217;t that psychiatry isn&#8217;t particularly attractive right now. We already know that. The moral is check the math of psychiatric articles. It tends to go fuzzy at just the right moment in just the right direction&#8230;<\/div>\n<div align=\"center\"><strong><font color=\"#990000\">Retraction Notice! see<\/font><\/strong> <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/2013\/04\/22\/fuzzy-math\/#comment-242802\" target=\"_blank\"><font color=\"#990000\">comments <\/font><\/a><\/strong><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>More Graduates Choose Psychiatry in 2013 Match Psychiatric News by Mark Moran April 19, 2013 A new &ldquo;all in&ldquo; policy for this year&rsquo;s match, along with an increase in the number of medical students, contributes to the increase in graduates choosing psychiatry. A total of 681 U.S. medical student seniors &ldquo;matched&rdquo; into psychiatry residencies in [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-35615","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35615","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=35615"}],"version-history":[{"count":21,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35615\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":35664,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35615\/revisions\/35664"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=35615"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=35615"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=35615"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}