{"id":39105,"date":"2013-08-12T08:36:10","date_gmt":"2013-08-12T12:36:10","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/?p=39105"},"modified":"2013-08-12T09:37:44","modified_gmt":"2013-08-12T13:37:44","slug":"a-road-to-nowhere","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/2013\/08\/12\/a-road-to-nowhere\/","title":{"rendered":"a road to nowhere&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<br \/>\n<blockquote>\n<div align=\"center\" class=\"big\"><a href=\"http:\/\/ajp.psychiatryonline.org\/article.aspx?articleID=1725889\" target=\"_blank\">Development of the CAT-ANX:<br \/>          A Computerized Adaptive Test for Anxiety<\/a><\/div>\n<div align=\"center\" class=\"small\">by Robert D. Gibbons, David J. Weiss, Paul A. Pilkonis, Ellen Frank, Tara Moore, Jong Bae Kim, and David J. Kupfer.<\/div>\n<div align=\"center\" class=\"middle\"><strong><font color=\"#004400\">American Journal of Psychiatry<\/font><\/strong>. published on-line Aug 9, 2013<\/div>\n<p>                <\/p>\n<div align=\"justify\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">Objective<\/font><\/strong>: The authors developed a computerized adaptive test for anxiety that decreases patient and clinician burden and increases measurement precision.<\/div>\n<div align=\"justify\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">Method<\/font><\/strong>: A total of 1,614 individuals with and without generalized anxiety disorder from a psychiatric clinic and community mental health center were recruited. The focus of the present study was the development of the Computerized Adaptive Testing&ndash;Anxiety Inventory [CAT-ANX]. The Structured Clinical Interview for DSM-IV was used to obtain diagnostic classifications of generalized anxiety disorder and major depressive disorder. <\/div>\n<div align=\"justify\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">Results<\/font><\/strong>: An average of 12 items per subject was required to achieve a 0.3 standard error in the anxiety severity estimate and maintain a correlation of 0.94 with the total 431-item test score. CAT-ANX scores were strongly related to the probability of a generalized anxiety disorder diagnosis. Using both the Computerized Adaptive Testing&ndash;- Depression Inventory and the CAT-ANX, comorbid major depressive disorder and generalized anxiety disorder can be accurately predicted. <\/div>\n<div align=\"justify\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">Conclusions<\/font><\/strong>: Traditional measurement fixes the number of items but allows measurement uncertainty to vary. Computerized adaptive testing fixes measurement uncertainty and allows the number and content of items to vary, leading to a dramatic decrease in the number of items required for a fixed level of measurement uncertainty. Potential applications for inexpensive, efficient, and accurate screening of anxiety in primary care settings, clinical trials, psychiatric epidemiology, molecular genetics, children, and other cultures are discussed.<\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n<div align=\"center\" class=\"big\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">The Computerized Adaptive Diagnostic Test for Major Depressive Disorder [CAD-MDD]:<br \/>       A Screening Tool for Depression<\/font><\/strong><\/div>\n<div align=\"center\" class=\"small\">by Robert D. Gibbons, Giles Hooker, Matthew D. Finkelman, David J. Weiss, Paul A. Pilkonis, Ellen Frank, Tara Moore, and David J. Kupfer.<\/div>\n<div align=\"center\" class=\"middle\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">Journal of Clinical Psychiatry<\/font><\/strong>. 2013 74[7]:669&ndash;674.<\/div>\n<p>       <\/p>\n<div align=\"justify\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">Objective<\/font><\/strong>:To develop a computerized adaptive diagnostic screening tool for  depression that decreases patient and clinician burden and increases  sensitivity and specificity for clinician-based <span class=\"light-ital\">DSM-IV<\/span> diagnosis of major depressive disorder [MDD].<\/div>\n<div align=\"justify\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">Method<\/font><\/strong>: 656  individuals with and without minor and major depression were recruited  from a psychiatric clinic and a community mental health center and  through public announcements [controls without depression]. The focus of  the study was the development of the Computerized Adaptive Diagnostic  Test for Major Depressive Disorder [CAD-MDD] diagnostic screening tool  based on a decision-theoretical approach [random forests and decision  trees]. The item bank consisted of 88 depression scale items drawn from  73 depression measures. Sensitivity and specificity for predicting  clinician-based Structured Clinical Interview for <span class=\"light-ital\">DSM-IV <\/span>Axis  I Disorders diagnoses of MDD were the primary outcomes. Diagnostic  screening accuracy was then compared to that of the Patient Health  Questionnaire-9 [PHQ-9].<\/div>\n<div align=\"justify\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">Results<\/font><\/strong>: An  average of 4 items per participant was required [maximum of 6 items].  Overall sensitivity and specificity were 0.95 and 0.87, respectively.  For the PHQ-9, sensitivity was 0.70 and specificity was 0.91.<\/div>\n<div align=\"justify\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">Conclusions<\/font><\/strong>: High sensitivity and reasonable specificity for a clinician-based <span class=\"light-ital\">DSM-IV<\/span>  diagnosis of depression can be obtained using an average of 4  adaptively administered self-report items in less than 1 minute.  Relative to the currently used PHQ-9, the CAD-MDD dramatically increased  sensitivity while maintaining similar specificity. As such, the CAD-MDD  will identify more true positives [lower false-negative rate] than the  PHQ-9 using half the number of items. Inexpensive [relative to clinical  assessment], efficient, and accurate screening of depression in the  settings of primary care, psychiatric epidemiology, molecular genetics,  and global health are all direct applications of the current system.<\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n<div align=\"center\" class=\"big\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/pubmed\/23117634\" target=\"_blank\">Development of a computerized adaptive test for depression.<\/a><\/div>\n<div align=\"center\" class=\"small\">by Gibbons RD, Weiss DJ, Pilkonis PA, Frank E, Moore T, Kim JB, and Kupfer DJ.<\/div>\n<div align=\"center\" class=\"middle\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">Archives of General Psychiatry<\/font><\/strong>. 2012 69[11]:1104-12.<\/div>\n<p>          <\/p>\n<div align=\"justify\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">CONTEXT<\/font><\/strong>  Unlike other areas of medicine, psychiatry is almost entirely dependent  on patient report to assess the presence and severity of disease;  therefore, it is particularly crucial that we find both more accurate  and efficient means of obtaining that report. <\/div>\n<div align=\"justify\"><font color=\"#200020\"><strong>OBJECTIVE<\/strong><\/font> To develop a  computerized adaptive test [CAT] for depression, called the Computerized  Adaptive Test-Depression Inventory [CAT-DI], that decreases patient and  clinician burden and increases measurement precision.<\/div>\n<div align=\"justify\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">MAIN OUTCOME  MEASURES<\/font><\/strong> The focus of this study was the development of the CAT-DI. The  24-item Hamilton Rating Scale for Depression, Patient Health  Questionnaire 9, and the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression  Scale were used to study the convergent validity of the new measure, and  the Structured Clinical Interview for DSM-IV was used to obtain  diagnostic classifications of minor and major depressive disorder.  <\/div>\n<div align=\"justify\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">RESULTS<\/font><\/strong> A mean of 12 items per study participant was required to achieve  a 0.3 SE in the depression severity estimate and maintain a correlation  of r = 0.95 with the total 389-item test score. Using empirically  derived thresholds based on a mixture of normal distributions, we found a  sensitivity of 0.92 and a specificity of 0.88 for the classification of  major depressive disorder in a sample consisting of depressed patients  and healthy controls. Correlations on the order of r = 0.8 were found  with the other clinician and self-rating scale scores. The CAT-DI  provided excellent discrimination throughout the entire depressive  severity continuum [minor and major depression], whereas the traditional  scales did so primarily at the extremes [eg, major depression].  <\/div>\n<div align=\"justify\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">CONCLUSIONS<\/font><\/strong> Traditional measurement fixes the number of items  administered and allows measurement uncertainty to vary. In contrast, a  CAT fixes measurement uncertainty and allows the number of items to  vary. The result is a significant reduction in the number of items  needed to measure depression and increased precision of measurement.<\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<div align=\"justify\">Ever since Dr. Gibbons published his two-part meta-analysis opposing the black box warning on antidepressants, I&#8217;ve followed his publications with skepticism. As the title of my series [<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/2012\/04\/14\/an-anatomy-of-a-deceit-1-introduction\/\">an anatomy of a deceit 1&hellip;<\/a>] says, I thought those publications were deliberately obfuscated and questionable. Similarly, I had plenty of complaints about his next paper in November last year on a computerized psychometric for depression [<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/2012\/11\/09\/really\/\">really?&hellip;<\/a>]. Since then, two more have appeared. One complaint is that this is obviously a commercial product [see their company&#8217;s web site, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.adaptivetestingtechnologies.com\/index.html\" target=\"_blank\">Adaptive Testing Technologies<\/a>]. So I&#8217;m not keen on the fact that it was developed funded by the NIMH or that these high impact journals are publishing what are essentially advertisements for their new product. Nor do I particularly like the idea of using such an instrument in doctor&#8217;s waiting rooms [or anywhere else] as a tool to troll for patients to medicate. But my further complaints are other than the ones mentioned so far.<\/div>\n<p align=\"justify\">People in physicians&#8217; waiting rooms, particularly new patients, have reason to be either depressed or anxious. They&#8217;ve noticed something wrong, a symptom that&#8217;s frightened them enough to send them to a doctor. I worry that using some instrument to identify anxiety or depression prior to their visit is a vulnerability. It identifies them as &quot;mental&quot; and may lead a busy physician to jump to conclusions and assume the questionnaire\/computer data points to mental disorder rather than the expected emotional turmoil from a frightening symptom. We&#8217;ve all seen mental patients&#8217; physical illnesses misdiagnosed repeatedly, and this kind of screening could create just such a problem. If a physician can&#8217;t identify clinically significant anxiety or depression without such an instrument, I think the proper course of action is for that doctor to take a refresher course in patient evaluation. <\/p>\n<div align=\"justify\">It&#8217;s not lost on me that the two diagnoses being evaluated here are Major Depressive Disorder and Generalized Anxiety Disorder, both of which flunked the DSM-5 Field Trials with Kappa&#8217;s of 0.32 and 0.20 respectively. Dr. Kupfer, co-chair of the DSM-5 Task Force, is an author on all three papers and surely knows the Field Trial results. In the <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.medscape.com\/viewarticle\/763519\">discussion<\/a> of the Field Trial outcome, they&nbsp; explained this miserable showing away with:<\/div>\n<blockquote>\n<div align=\"justify\">Conditions that did not do  well included major depressive disorder [MDD], in adults and in  children, and general anxiety disorder [GAD].  According to Darrel  Regier, MD, vice-chair of the DSM-5 task force,   the poor scores for MDD  may be attributable to &quot;co-travelers,&quot; such as     PTSD, major cognitive  disorder, or even a substance use disorder,  which  often occur  concurrently with depression. &quot;Patients often don&rsquo;t  come in a single,  simple diagnosis in clinical practice,&quot; Dr. Regier  told <em>Medscape Medical News<\/em>.<\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<div align=\"justify\">It&#8217;s a little hard to generate any excitement for Dr. Gibbons&#8217; correlations between his CAT-DI and CAT-ANX in the face of those results. Did they think we would forget the Field Trials?&nbsp; But I have to admit that my negative reaction to these instruments is largely visceral, much like Dr. Nussbaum&#8217;s comments about physicians treating surrogates in the last post &#8211; looking at the computer rather than the person. The scope and importance of a diagnostic interview is so much greater than a search for brevity or precision. It&#8217;s a getting-to-know-you step that ought not be skipped. So, for me, these tests are just a further step down a road to nowhere leading away from the person looking for help&#8230;<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Development of the CAT-ANX: A Computerized Adaptive Test for Anxiety by Robert D. Gibbons, David J. Weiss, Paul A. Pilkonis, Ellen Frank, Tara Moore, Jong Bae Kim, and David J. Kupfer. American Journal of Psychiatry. published on-line Aug 9, 2013 Objective: The authors developed a computerized adaptive test for anxiety that decreases patient and clinician [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-39105","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39105","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39105"}],"version-history":[{"count":38,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39105\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":42671,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39105\/revisions\/42671"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39105"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39105"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39105"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}