{"id":39766,"date":"2013-09-08T20:27:19","date_gmt":"2013-09-09T00:27:19","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/?p=39766"},"modified":"2013-09-08T20:28:20","modified_gmt":"2013-09-09T00:28:20","slug":"3512","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/2013\/09\/08\/3512\/","title":{"rendered":"<h2><font color=\"#800000\">3512!<\/font>&#8230;<\/h2>"},"content":{"rendered":"<br \/>\n<blockquote>\n<div align=\"center\" class=\"big\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.bmj.com\/content\/347\/bmj.f5248\">&ldquo;Hardly worth the effort&rdquo;?<\/a><\/div>\n<div align=\"center\" class=\"small\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.bmj.com\/content\/347\/bmj.f5248\">Medical journals&rsquo; policies and  their editors&rsquo; and publishers&rsquo; views on trial registration and  publication bias: quantitative and qualitative study<\/a><\/div>\n<div align=\"center\" class=\"small\">by Elizabeth Wager and Peter Williams<\/div>\n<div align=\"center\" class=\"middle\"><strong><font color=\"#003399\">British Medical Journal<\/font><\/strong>. 2013 347:f5248 published on-line September 6, 2013 <\/div>\n<div align=\"center\" class=\"middle\">[full text on-line]<\/div>\n<p>       <\/p>\n<div align=\"justify\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">Objectives<\/font><\/strong> To determine the  proportion of medical journals requiring trial registration and to  understand their reasons for adopting [or not adopting] such policies  and other measures designed to reduce publication bias.<\/div>\n<div align=\"justify\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">Design<\/font><\/strong> Quantitative study of  journals&rsquo; instructions to authors [in June 2012] and qualitative study  of editors&rsquo; and publishers&rsquo; views on trial registration and publication  bias [carried out in Autumn 2012].<\/div>\n<div align=\"justify\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">Setting<\/font><\/strong> Random selection of 200 medical journals publishing clinical trials identified from the Cochrane CENTRAL database.<\/div>\n<div align=\"justify\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">Participants<\/font><\/strong> Editors [n=13] and  publishers [n=3] of journals with different policies on trial  registration [and with recently changed policies] identified from the  survey of their instructions to authors.<\/div>\n<div align=\"justify\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">Results<\/font><\/strong> Only 55\/200 journals [28%]  required trial registration according to their instructions and a  further three [2%] encouraged it. The editors and publishers interviewed  explained their journals&rsquo; reluctance to require registration in terms  of not wanting to lose out to rival journals, not wanting to reject  otherwise sound articles or submissions from developing countries, and  perceptions that such policies were not relevant to all journals. Some  interviewees considered that registration was unnecessary for small or  exploratory studies.<\/div>\n<div align=\"justify\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">Conclusions<\/font><\/strong> Although many major  medical journals state that they will only publish clinical trials that  have been prospectively registered, and such policies have been  associated with a dramatic increase in the number of trials being  registered, most smaller journals have not adopted such policies.  Editors and publishers may be reluctant to require registration because  they do not understand its benefits or because they fear that adopting  such a policy would put their journal at a disadvantage to competitors.<\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<div align=\"justify\">This is a long article, reasonably lamenting the fact that most Clinical Trials aren&#8217;t registered, that many journals don&#8217;t require registration, and addressing the non-publication of negative trials. I was scanning along, and hit this paragraph early on:<\/div>\n<blockquote>\n<div align=\"justify\" class=\"big\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">Methods<\/font><\/strong><\/div>\n<div align=\"justify\" class=\"big\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">Quantitative study<\/font><\/strong><\/div>\n<div align=\"justify\">We obtained a listing of all journals included in  the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials [CENTRAL] database  from 2009 to 2011. This database includes randomised trials from a wide  range of sources [including literature searches from bibliographic  databases, hand searches undertaken as part of systematic reviews, and  retrieval of articles from the reference lists of other articles  obtained by both these methods]. The list was downloaded into an Excel  spreadsheet, deduplicated, and sorted alphabetically by journal title,  producing a total of <strong><font color=\"#800000\">3512<\/font><\/strong> journals. A series of 200 random numbers from 1  to 3512 was generated using www.random.org.  We extracted journal titles corresponding to these numbers in the Excel  listing and entered these into a search engine via a web browser [Google accessed via Mozilla Firefox] to locate the journal website. If  no website could be found, or the journal did not provide instructions  in English, we selected the next journal on the Excel spreadsheet. In  this way we created a sample of 200 journals thought to publish clinical  trials.<\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<div>I tried to keep scanning the article, but I was stuck on that number &#8211; <strong><font color=\"#990000\">3512<\/font><\/strong> Journals publishing Clinical Trials! So I stopped scanning and revisited the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.acrohealth.org\/\" target=\"_blank\">ACRO<\/a> [Association of Clinical Research Organizations] to look at their numbers. I had an ADHD moment when I ran across a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.acrohealth.org\/acro-commnets-on-bad-pharma.html\" target=\"_blank\">press release <\/a>about Ben Goldacre&#8217;s <em>Bad Pharma<\/em> [it could&#8217;ve been titled <em>Bad Ben<\/em>]. But after that diversion, I found this:<\/div>\n<blockquote>\n<div class=\"big\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.acrohealth.org\/cro-market1.html\">CRO Market<\/a><\/div>\n<p align=\"justify\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.acrohealth.org\/\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" vspace=\"4\" hspace=\"4\" height=\"88\" border=\"1\" align=\"right\" src=\"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/images\/acro.jpg\" \/><\/a>CRO industry revenue was estimated at <strong><font color=\"#993300\">$33.6<\/font><\/strong> billion for 2012 and is  expected to reach <strong><font color=\"#990000\">$37.4<\/font><\/strong> billion in 2013, according to Industry Standard  Research. Please note that estimates of industry size can&nbsp;vary as the  definition of &quot;CRO&quot;&nbsp;and the scope of services included in market size  may differ from source to source. According to the independent Tufts Center for the Study of Drug  Development, clinical trials conducted by CROs are completed an average  of 30 percent more quickly than those conducted in-house. This results  in an average time savings of some four to five months, translating to  $120 million to $150 million in increased revenue potential.<\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">ACRO member companies <strong><font color=\"#990000\">employ approximately 95,000 people worldwide<\/font><\/strong>.  Each year our members conduct <strong><font color=\"#990000\">more than 11,000 clinical trials&nbsp;in&nbsp;115  countries involving nearly&nbsp;two million research partitipants<\/font><\/strong>. ACRO memebr companies have contributed to the development of all of  the top 50 selling bipharmaceutical products globally and the  participate in the development of the vast majority of new treatments  and therapies approved globally each year. The&nbsp;top five therapeutic areas for CROs are: oncology, CNS,  infectious disease, metabolic disorders and cardivascular disease.  Vaccine development is another growing area of research for CROs.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div align=\"justify\">ACRO member companies manage nearly one million square feet of  laboratory space, process more than 16 million samples each year and  deliver more than 60 million individual test results.&nbsp; <strong><font color=\"#990000\">Approximately two-thirds of CRO business is from the pharmaceutical  industry,&nbsp;27 percent from biotech and the remainder funded by the  medical device, foundation and government sectors.<\/font><\/strong> Approximately 46 percent of clinical trials are conducted in&nbsp;the  United States, 30 percent in Europe and the remainder in Asia, Latin  America, Africa and the Middle East. <strong><font color=\"#0066ff\">An analysis of data quality that  appeared in the <em>Drug Information Journal <\/em>found that there were no statistically significant differences in data quality between or among regions or countries.<\/font><\/strong><\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<div align=\"justify\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.acrohealth.org\/globalization-white-paper.html\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"215\" hspace=\"4\" height=\"140\" border=\"0\" align=\"left\" src=\"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/images\/acro-2.gif\" \/><\/a>$33.6 Billion\/Year? 11,000 Clinical Trials\/Year? in 115 Countries? with 2 million Participants in a Year? published in 3512 Journals? Note that 2\/3+27%=93% of their business is from PHARMA+Biotech. 93% of 11,000 is at least 10,230 commercial Clinical Trials\/Year! I find all of these numbers staggering. Last night, I was speechless and went to bed. I didn&#8217;t pick it back up until this evening, and I still feel a kind of tongue-tied. I had previously read the paper referred to in the blue highlight as well as their <a href=\"http:\/\/www.acrohealth.org\/globalization-white-paper.html\" target=\"_blank\">white paper<\/a> on globalization and found them as silly as the review about Ben&#8217;s book [which was pretty damned silly].<\/div>\n<p align=\"justify\">I went back and finished the paper I started with. It was pretty interesting on the whys and wherefores that Clinical Trials aren&#8217;t registered and Journals aren&#8217;t particularly helpful, but I couldn&#8217;t help thinking that it&#8217;s because it&#8217;s all voluntary &#8211; as they say in the title &quot;Hardly worth the effort.&quot; It was written by members of the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.open-project.eu\/\" target=\"_blank\">OPEN Project<\/a> [<strong><font color=\"#200020\">O<\/font><\/strong><span class=\"small\"><font color=\"#200020\">vercome failure to <\/font><\/span><strong><font color=\"#200020\">P<\/font><\/strong><span class=\"small\"><font color=\"#200020\">ublish n<\/font><\/span><strong><font color=\"#200020\">E<\/font><\/strong><span class=\"small\"><font color=\"#200020\">gative fi<\/font><\/span><strong><font color=\"#200020\">N<\/font><\/strong><span class=\"small\"><font color=\"#200020\">dings<\/font><\/span>] Consortium. With that many Clinical Trials, they&#8217;ve got their work cut out for them.<\/p>\n<div align=\"justify\">I can find no way to see these numbers as close to necessary for progress in&nbsp; medical science. This is an industry as out of control as its evil twin, PHARMA. Watching this duo have such a negative impact on psychiatry has been painful enough. To see it operating Medicine wide is even worse. For data transparency to work with 11,000 Clinical Trials\/Year, we may need to reinstitute the draft for an enforcement army. Perhaps a better approach would be to put some reasonable restrictions on the inappropriate overuse of Clinical Trials&#8230;<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&ldquo;Hardly worth the effort&rdquo;? Medical journals&rsquo; policies and their editors&rsquo; and publishers&rsquo; views on trial registration and publication bias: quantitative and qualitative study by Elizabeth Wager and Peter Williams British Medical Journal. 2013 347:f5248 published on-line September 6, 2013 [full text on-line] Objectives To determine the proportion of medical journals requiring trial registration and to [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-39766","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39766","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39766"}],"version-history":[{"count":46,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39766\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":42022,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39766\/revisions\/42022"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39766"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39766"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39766"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}