{"id":4005,"date":"2010-04-15T00:49:01","date_gmt":"2010-04-15T04:49:01","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/?p=4005"},"modified":"2010-04-15T01:04:50","modified_gmt":"2010-04-15T05:04:50","slug":"risk-for-sale","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/2010\/04\/15\/risk-for-sale\/","title":{"rendered":"risk for sale…"},"content":{"rendered":"
In my opinion, this is the eye of the storm – the Exotic Financial Instruments called Derivatives<\/font><\/strong>: <\/div>\n
\n
Sen. Lincoln forges ahead on financial derivatives reform<\/a>
Washington Post<\/strong>
By David Cho and Brady Dennis
April 14, 2010<\/div>\n

\"BlancheAn influential senator is advocating new regulations that would force the nation’s largest banks to stop trading nearly all kinds of exotic financial instruments known as derivatives – a move that would dramatically reshape several critical markets and deprive the firms of a major source of revenue. The proposal by Sen. Blanche Lincoln [D-Ark], who chairs the Agriculture Committee, is sending shudders through Wall Street. For nearly two decades, five U.S. banks – J.P. Morgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Bank of America and Citigroup<\/font><\/strong> – have acted as middlemen allowing commercial firms and financial speculators to trade vital goods such as oil, natural gas and cotton as well as contracts called derivatives. These are essentially side bets on which way such commodities, stocks and other assets move. Under Lincoln’s proposal, as described by her aides, these companies would have to spin off this activity if they want to remain banks. <\/font><\/strong><\/p>\n

Derivatives have taken center stage in the broader fight over how to regulate the financial industry. And Lincoln, who is facing a tough reelection challenge, is calling for tougher rules than what the Obama administration has sought. A Senate bill on overhauling financial regulation stops short of an outright ban on derivatives trading by these Wall Street companies, but Lincoln’s proposal could now be added to that legislation. Derivatives have been traded on Wall Street for decades, but exploded in popularity over the past decade with the help of big banks, which reaped a windfall in fees their services. Some private research groups estimate that acting as middlemen, or "swap dealers" in Wall Street parlance, generates $20 billion to $40 billion every year for big Wall Street firms… <\/p>\n

Both the administration and Lincoln want derivatives to be traded on exchanges and approved by a clearinghouse that would cover losses in case one party to a derivative contract cannot pay up. An exemption would be given to manufacturers and commercial companies, which often use derivative contracts to guarantee the delivery of a commodity at a set price and time. However, under Lincoln’s plan, if these companies choose to trade in private, the decision may cost them more money. The firms would have to put up more capital to prepare for unexpected losses on any private trades. Lincoln’s proposal would also force all derivative contracts to be made known to both regulators and the public. The Senate bill, which was written in consultation with the administration, calls only for making derivatives known to regulators. <\/p>\n

Republicans and industry officials blasted Lincoln’s proposal, saying it would wreak havoc on the financial system and disrupt the economy…<\/font><\/strong><\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n
"Derivatives" "Exotic Financial Instruments" whatever one calls them, they are nothing more complicated than bets. The Commodities Market arose as a way to sell "futures" – some not-yet-in-existence things – for example, soy beans. Central Soya says, "I will buy this many soy beans at harvest for this much." So the farmer gets the money up front [to plant] and sells the beans at harvest for the agreed upon price. Derivatives have no object, but are based on something intangible, "I will pay this much if the such-and-such index is below such-and-such in june of next year." It could be anything. It’s no different than, "I will pay this much if Man-o-War wins the next race." It’s a Casino, and it has been used to sell risk<\/em> as if it’s a thing. The derivatives markets have grown to many times the total world wealth [that dot]… <\/div>\n
<\/div>\n
Credit Default Swaps are the kind of derivatives used to insure CDOs, those Mortgage Backed Securities that allowed the housing bubble and almost took us under in 2008. <\/div>\n
<\/div>\n
A hundred years ago, places called "Bucket Shops" became widespread in the US. They looked like stock exchanges, but nothing was real. They were betting casinos where people "pretended" they were buying stocks and bonds, but the ticker tape was just something to bet on. They were Casinos [again?…<\/a><\/strong>]. By 1920, they were shut down. The derivatives markets are similar, buying and selling contracts based on the future behavior of almost anything. Through a complex series of maneuvers, they are completely unregulated [again?…<\/strong><\/a>, a bronze statue in the Washington Mall…<\/a><\/strong>]. The problem is that the big banks are involved in trading them [unregulated]. If they crash, as they did following the burst of the housing bubble, they take down the Banks, and the entire economy goes with them [ergo Banks too big to fail<\/strong>]. <\/div>\n

The Financial Services Industry loves Derivatives because they can buy and sell risk. That allows them to take more risk. The more risk you take, the greater the profit. There’s no other reason in the world to even have these markets in existence except to allow speculators to have an opportunity to make tons of money taking big risks. So what if they break the Bank, they take their booty and run. his next graph is the Credit Default Graph [2005-2009] from above with the Case-Shiller Index added. [blue] The Case-Shiller Index measures the value of an average house. Note that it peaked in 2006. The "bubble burst" then. Yet, they kept on selling the Credit Default Swaps, buying and selling risk at a fast and furious rate even though the risk on those Mortgage Backed securities was skyrocketing. It was just a matter of time before people would start defaulting on their loans and the Banks that had sold these Derivatives would be liable for them.
<\/font><\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Obviously, this is only a rough estimate, but it looks like the value of the Credit Default Market tripled after<\/u> the housing market peaked. Why didn’t they stop selling them? The handwriting was on the wall.<\/font><\/strong> Why should they? The sellers were getting their megabonuses from selling. The only thing that stopped them was when their Banks [Lehman, AIG, etc.] almost went under paying off these things when people stopped paying their Mortgages. The government bailed-out the Banks and the sales guys moved to their vacation homes and yachts.<\/p>\n

If there’s any argument about whether the Derivatives ought to be regulated, this ought to seal the deal. If the craziness of insuring unsecured risk wasn’t enough, what’s even crazier is that they kept on doing it even when it was patently clear that they were going to break their own Banks – for two years!…<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

In my opinion, this is the eye of the storm – the Exotic Financial Instruments called Derivatives: Sen. Lincoln forges ahead on financial derivatives reform Washington Post By David Cho and Brady Dennis April 14, 2010 An influential senator is advocating new regulations that would force the nation’s largest banks to stop trading nearly all […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4005","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4005","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4005"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4005\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4005"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4005"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4005"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}