{"id":4057,"date":"2010-05-02T15:49:56","date_gmt":"2010-05-02T19:49:56","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/?p=4057"},"modified":"2010-05-02T20:36:34","modified_gmt":"2010-05-03T00:36:34","slug":"the-rogues","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/2010\/05\/02\/the-rogues\/","title":{"rendered":"the rogues&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<br \/>\n<blockquote>\n<div align=\"center\"><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.businessweek.com\/news\/2010-05-02\/buffett-backs-goldman-sachs-on-abacus-trade-praises-blankfein.html\" target=\"_blank\">Buffett Backs Goldman Sachs on Abacus Trade, Praises Blankfein<\/a><br \/>    Bloomberg<\/strong><br \/>    By Andrew Frye and Betty Liu<br \/>    May 02, 2010<\/div>\n<p align=\"justify\">     Berkshire Hathaway Inc.&rsquo;s  Warren Buffett praised Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Chief Executive Officer  Lloyd Blankfein and said the bank shouldn&rsquo;t be blamed for losses  suffered by clients who invested in mortgage bets at the center of a  fraud suit filed by regulators. &ldquo;He&rsquo;s done a great job running that firm,&rdquo;  Buffett said yesterday in Omaha, Nebraska, in a Bloomberg Television  interview before Berkshire&rsquo;s annual shareholders meeting. He said he  supports Blankfein &ldquo;100 percent.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">     Buffett, 79, has become one of Goldman Sachs&rsquo;s  most visible advocates after the firm was sued last month by the U.S.  Securities and Exchange Commission for misleading clients who invested  in a collateralized debt obligation known as Abacus 2007-AC1. The SEC  said that firms including ABN Amro Bank NV weren&rsquo;t told that the hedge  fund led by John Paulson helped pick the mortgages in the CDOs and was  betting on them to fail. &ldquo;I did not hold it against Goldman Sachs that an  allegation has been made,&rdquo; Buffett said. He said he&rsquo;d review the case  further &ldquo;if it leads to something more serious.&rdquo; Buffett also backed Blankfein in January, saying  the bank&rsquo;s leader since 2006 &ldquo;has been the right man&rdquo; for the job. He  said yesterday that Blankfein is &ldquo;smart. He&rsquo;s high grade.&rdquo;<\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">     Buffett, who is also Berkshire&rsquo;s CEO, invested $5  billion in Goldman Sachs in 2008 and has praised the bank for its risk  management. Berkshire makes $500 million a year in interest on its  Goldman Sachs preferred stock. The warrants Buffett negotiated as part  of the deal give Berkshire the option to buy $5 billion of common stock  for $115 a share. The shares closed at $145.20 on April 30.<\/font><\/strong><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">     <strong><font color=\"#200020\">Berkshire&rsquo;s paper profit on the warrants is about  $1.3 billion, down from about $3 billion before the SEC lawsuit was  announced. The bank, which said the suit is unfounded, must  weigh the risks of a legal battle against the benefits of a more  immediate resolution. Politicians have vilified the firm as a symbol of  the Wall Street excess that led to the collapse of the subprime  residential real estate market&#8230;<\/font><\/strong><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">Berkshire has four decades of experience with  Goldman Sachs and no expectation that the bank would offer investment  advice or disclose its own stance on trades, Buffett said yesterday. &ldquo;We are in the business of making our own  decisions,&rdquo; Buffett said. &ldquo;They do not owe us a divulgence of their  position.&rdquo; Senator Carl Levin, who led a subcommittee that  pilloried Blankfein on April 27, accused the bank of conflicts of  interest for selling mortgage bets to clients as it cut its own housing  exposure.<\/font><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>    <strong>  <\/strong><\/p>\n<div align=\"justify\"><strong>     <\/strong><strong><font color=\"#200020\">It &ldquo;wasn&rsquo;t so obvious&rdquo; when the investments were  sold in 2007 that the housing market would collapse, Buffett said  yesterday. &ldquo;I can&rsquo;t see what difference it makes if it were Paulson on  the other side of the deal or Goldman Sachs or Berkshire Hathaway.&rdquo; Berkshire swung to profit in the first quarter as  rising markets increased the value of investments and a recovering  economy boosted results at its industrial operations&#8230;<\/font><\/strong><\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<div align=\"justify\">In the world of Warren Buffet, I expect Lloyd Blankfein is a good choice. After all, Buffet still has a $1.3 billion profit on his $5 billion investment in GS&amp;CO in 2008 [a yield of 26%.] Warren Buffet is &quot;long&quot; on GS&amp;CO. It sounds a bit like Buffet himself hasn&#8217;t studied the suit carefully because he&#8217;s defending the case as if GS&amp;CO is being punished for playing good poker. I&#8217;m not sure that&#8217;s what this suit is about. And &quot;<strong><font color=\"#200020\">It &#8216;wasn&rsquo;t so obvious&#8217; when the investments  were  sold in 2007 that the housing market would collapse, Buffett said   yesterday<\/font><\/strong>&quot; isn&#8217;t right [see <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/2010\/04\/28\/a-humble-noble-and-ethical-reason-for-my-job\"><em>a humble, noble and ethical reason for my job<\/em>&hellip;<\/a><\/strong>]. And remember Buffett is the guy who said, &quot;<strong><font color=\"#200020\">derivatives are financial weapons of mass destruction.<\/font><\/strong>&quot; This was a 100% derivative deal. Abacus was a derivative sold to IKB and ACA that covered it with a CDS with ABN. GS&amp;CO sold Paulson a derivative. Nothing was real. And it was <strong><font color=\"#200020\">lethal<\/font><\/strong> &#8211; very few of those people were left sanding. Buffett is saying that ABN and IKB didn&#8217;t do their homework. They thought they were riding Paulson&#8217;s coat-tails and ended up being his victim. They should&#8217;ve known better. Maybe they should&#8217;ve, but that doesn&#8217;t make GS&amp;CO&#8217;s deceit any less fraudulent. I&#8217;m thinking that Buffett&#8217;s $5 billion stake in GS&amp;CO might color his thinking. It&#8217;s like asking Cheney how the War in Iraq is going. <\/div>\n<p align=\"justify\">But when I read this, I decided to try to get into Buffett&#8217;s dog-eat-dog world and think like one of these people. What happened was that I found myself thinking about the Abacus deal myself and something occurred to me. There is another scenario besides the one the SEC proposes. Here&#8217;s the one on the table [left figure]. GS&amp;CO leads on ACA &#8211; allowing them to think Paulson is going long on this bet. They sell $150 million to IKB. ACA Capital hears about it from ACA Management and buys in for $800+ million, thinking they&#8217;ll ride the Paulson Gravy train.<\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">But there&#8217;s another possibility [right figure]. Abacus is issued and IKB only buys $150 million. Paulson wants a bigger bet. So ACA Capital buys $800+ million and insures it with ABN &#8211; passing on the liability to another foreign Bank [ABN]. Could the ACA purchase have been a ruse? A way to up the ante? Certainly ACA could&#8217;ve been in on the deal &#8211; buying long, then covering with a CDS from ABN is as good as selling this loser to ABN in the first place. The rogues!<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" border=\"0\" src=\"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/images\/abacus.gif\" \/>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div align=\"justify\">And Goldman Sachs is in the center either way. My very own conspiracy theory! <em>I&#8217;d better stop reading this stuff<\/em>&#8230;<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Buffett Backs Goldman Sachs on Abacus Trade, Praises Blankfein Bloomberg By Andrew Frye and Betty Liu May 02, 2010 Berkshire Hathaway Inc.&rsquo;s Warren Buffett praised Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Chief Executive Officer Lloyd Blankfein and said the bank shouldn&rsquo;t be blamed for losses suffered by clients who invested in mortgage bets at the center of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4057","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4057","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4057"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4057\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4057"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4057"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4057"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}