{"id":44008,"date":"2014-02-15T08:00:52","date_gmt":"2014-02-15T13:00:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/?p=44008"},"modified":"2014-02-15T03:08:38","modified_gmt":"2014-02-15T08:08:38","slug":"creepy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/2014\/02\/15\/creepy\/","title":{"rendered":"creepy&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p align=\"justify\">I really never took a business course or thought about marketing before I started writing this blog. I don&#8217;t even bargain with car salesmen. But I&#8217;ve learned a few things in the last couple of years. I didn&#8217;t understand <em>indication creep<\/em> until a couple of years ago. I was sitting in a too-hot courtroom trying not to nod off and the witness [<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/2012\/09\/19\/a-1-market-2\/\">Tone Jones<\/a>] said &quot;<em>You can&rsquo;t be a billion dollar drug in a 1% market<\/em>&quot; [the prevalence for Schizophrenia is 1%]. I came alert with an AHA! experience. That&#8217;s why once they get FDA Approval, they start going for other indications. Here&#8217;s how that indication race looked a few years ago with the Atypical Antipsychotics [the year Latuda&reg; came on the scene]:<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"250\" border=\"0\" src=\"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/images\/atypicals-skala.gif\" \/><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">Without other diagnosis&middot;specific indications, they can&#8217;t legally advertise. This is all pretty crazy, because nobody thinks these drugs are diagnosis&middot;specific &#8211; at least nobody I know. But that&#8217;s the way the game has been played. Get the drug approved for a diagnosis, then spend the years of its patent life trying to get other indications for new ad launches. Towards the end of the patent, be sure to have a study or two in kids so you can get a pediatric extension.&nbsp; If it&#8217;s a blockbuster, try to get a long acting version approved [Paxil CR&reg;, Seroquel R&reg;] or maybe a purified isomer [Lexapro&reg;, Focalin&reg;] or even a metabolite [Pristiq&reg;].<\/p>\n<div align=\"justify\"><img decoding=\"async\" hspace=\"4\" width=\"180\" border=\"0\" align=\"right\" src=\"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/images\/bipolar-1.gif\" \/>But back to <em>indication creep<\/em>. According to the NIMH site, the prevalence of Bipolar Disorder is between two and three percent and the majority of episodes are depressive, so they add a market at least as big as the one they had. And we all know that Bipolar Disorder is way over&middot;diagnosed. Let me say that one more time, Bipolar Disorder is way over&middot;diagnosed. So their market grows even more because [did I mention] Bipolar Disorder is way over&middot;diagnosed. And they covered their bases by the pair of studies &#8211; both monotherapy and adjunctive therapy, making it a clean sweep. But <a href=\"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/2014\/02\/14\/or-both\/#comment-254721\" target=\"_blank\">Johanna&#8217;s comment<\/a> to the last post points out a more subtle marketing ploy that is probably even more lucrative:<\/div>\n<blockquote>\n<div align=\"justify\">Funny you should mention the glossy-magazine-advertisement bit.  I  was just reading People Magazine yesterday, and came across a two-page  spread advertising Latuda for bipolar depression (featuring a picture of  a nice-looking 20-something woman with a vaguely hopeful expression on  her face).<\/div>\n<p>        <\/p>\n<div align=\"justify\">Worse yet, the &ldquo;safety information&rdquo; had been carefully worded to  repeatedly refer to Latuda as an &ldquo;<strong><font color=\"#200020\">antidepressant<\/font><\/strong>.&rdquo;   People will be  offered this drug for no better reason than &ldquo;my antidepressant doesn&rsquo;t  seem to be working&rdquo; &mdash; and will have no earthly idea what they are  fooling around with. <\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<div>She&#8217;s exactly right. I hadn&#8217;t thought of that. It certainly happened with  Seroquel XR&reg;. They got approvals for the drug as an adjunct to antidepressants in treatment resistant Major Depressive Disorder and Bipolar Depression. The ads said <em>may help in depression<\/em> and <em>a proven option in Bipolar Depression<\/em>:<\/div>\n<div align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"400\" vspace=\"7\" border=\"0\" src=\"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/images\/seroquel-xr-1.gif\" \/><\/div>\n<p align=\"justify\">And depressed people began showing up in the clinic on&nbsp; Seroquel XR&reg; being used as an antidepressant [with none of the criteria to meet these diagnoses except a depressed mood AKA unhappiness]. Now as Johanna discovered, that same strategy appears to be being picked up by Latuda&reg;. The People Magazines in my doctor&#8217;s office are frayed and from an earlier historical epoch, so I hadn&#8217;t realized that Latuda&reg; was being advertising there &#8211; but I&#8217;m&nbsp; not surprised. I don&#8217;t exactly know what to call this variant of <em>indication creep<\/em> &#8211; maybe <em>grammatical sprawl<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">The formal linking of these drugs to a DSM diagnosis based on clinical trials sounds good on paper, but in truth, it is not easy to defend &#8211; yet it&#8217;s the law of the land. But if only people actually meeting the DSM criteria were put on the drugs, we wouldn&#8217;t have anything like our current problem. I doubt that many people get a diagnosis of Schizophrenia made casually. But diagnostic precision goes way downhill after that. I mentioned that Bipolar Disorder is way over&middot;diagnosed, but it doesn&#8217;t hold a candle to Major Depressive Disorder which is often diagnosed by a report that &quot;<em>I&#8217;ve been depressed<\/em>&quot; with little else. So any way that a pharmaceutical company can get the word <em>depression<\/em> into an ad is a major marketing success. I expect they were cheering at Sunovion when this months <strong><font color=\"#004400\">American Journal of Psychiatry<\/font><\/strong> came out.<\/p>\n<div align=\"justify\">In September 2011, I wrote [<a href=\"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/2011\/09\/28\/echo-echo-echo-echo-echo-echo-echo\/\" target=\"_blank\"><font color=\"#2f1401\">echo<\/font> echo <font color=\"#6d543d\">echo<\/font> <font color=\"#8c7461\">echo<\/font> <font color=\"#a99485\">echo<\/font> <font color=\"#c6b4a9\">echo<\/font> <font color=\"#d3d4cd\">echo&hellip;<\/font>      <\/a>      ]:<\/div>\n<blockquote>\n<div align=\"justify\">Now comes the indication march proper [already in place well before the initial F.D.A. Approval]:      <\/div>\n<p>          <\/p>\n<table cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"1\" border=\"0\" align=\"center\">\n<tr>\n<td align=\"center\" colspan=\"4\">  <em><strong><font color=\"#660033\">Sunovion<\/font><\/strong><strong><font color=\"#660033\"><sup>&reg;<\/sup><\/font><\/strong><\/em> <strong><font color=\"#004466\">Latuda <\/font><\/strong><strong><font color=\"#660033\">Phase III Clinical Trials<\/font><\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"center\"><strong><font color=\"#660033\"><sup>NCT ID<\/sup><\/font><\/strong><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"center\"><strong><font color=\"#660033\"><sup>Title<\/sup><\/font><\/strong><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"center\"><strong><font color=\"#660033\"><sup>Recruit<\/sup><\/font><\/strong><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"center\"><strong><font color=\"#660033\"><sup>StartDate<\/sup><\/font><\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"4\">\n<hr size=\"1<\/td\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"left\"><sup><a href=\"http:\/\/ClinicalTrials.gov\/show\/NCT00868699\" target=\"_blank\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">NCT00868699<\/font><\/strong><\/a><\/sup><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"left\"><sup>6-week Study, Bipolar I Depression (Monotherapy)<\/sup><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"center\"><sup>YES<\/sup><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"center\"><sup>04\/2009<\/sup><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"left\"><sup><a href=\"http:\/\/ClinicalTrials.gov\/show\/NCT00868959\" target=\"_blank\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">NCT00868959<\/font><\/strong><\/a><\/sup><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"left\"><sup>24-week Extension Study, Bipolar I Depression<\/sup><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"center\"><sup>YES<\/sup><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"center\"><sup>04\/2009<\/sup><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"left\"><sup><a href=\"http:\/\/ClinicalTrials.gov\/show\/NCT00868452\" target=\"_blank\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">NCT00868452<\/font><\/strong><\/a><\/sup><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"left\"><sup>6-week Study, Bipolar I Depression (Add-on)<\/sup><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"center\"><sup>YES<\/sup><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"center\"><sup>04\/2009<\/sup><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"left\"><sup><a href=\"http:\/\/ClinicalTrials.gov\/show\/NCT01284517\" target=\"_blank\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">NCT01284517<\/font><\/strong><\/a><\/sup><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"left\"><sup>6-week Study, Bipolar I Depression<\/sup><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"center\"><sup>YES<\/sup><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"center\"><sup>11\/2010<\/sup><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"left\"><sup><a href=\"http:\/\/ClinicalTrials.gov\/show\/NCT01358357\" target=\"_blank\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">NCT01358357<\/font><\/strong><\/a><\/sup><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"left\"><sup>Bipolar Maintenance  Adjunctive to Lithium or Divalproex<\/sup><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"center\"><sup>YES<\/sup><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"center\"><sup>06\/2011<\/sup><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"left\"><sup><a href=\"http:\/\/ClinicalTrials.gov\/show\/NCT01421134\" target=\"_blank\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">NCT01421134<\/font><\/strong><\/a><\/sup><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"left\"><sup>MDD With Mixed Features &ndash; Flexible Dose<\/sup><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"center\"><sup>YES<\/sup><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"center\"><sup>09\/2011<\/sup><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"left\"><sup><a href=\"http:\/\/ClinicalTrials.gov\/show\/NCT01423253\" target=\"_blank\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">NCT01423253<\/font><\/strong><\/a><\/sup><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"left\"><sup>MDD With Mixed Features &ndash; Extension<\/sup><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"center\"><sup>Not Yet<\/sup><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"center\"><sup>09\/2011<\/sup><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"left\"><sup><a href=\"http:\/\/ClinicalTrials.gov\/show\/NCT01423240\" target=\"_blank\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">NCT01423240<\/font><\/strong><\/a><\/sup><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"left\"><sup>MDD With Mixed Features<\/sup><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"center\"><sup>Not Yet<\/sup><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"center\"><sup>10\/2011<\/sup><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr><\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>       <\/p>\n<div align=\"justify\">They&rsquo;re following in the footsteps of some of  the greats, well warned about the shoals of false advertising and other  sleaze by the antics of their predecessors. Their problem &ndash; the generics  are here. Even just plain Seroquel <a href=\"http:\/\/bipolarsoupkitchen-stephany.blogspot.com\/2011\/09\/so-long-seroquel-all-purpose.html\" target=\"_blank\"><u><strong><font color=\"#200020\">went off-patent this week<\/font><\/strong><\/u><\/a> &ndash; so, at $14+\/pill for <strong><font color=\"#004466\">Latuda<\/font><\/strong>,  it&rsquo;s going to be an uphill climb. What they have going for them is that  it seems to be weight neutral [so far]. What&rsquo;s on the downside? It&rsquo;s a  decidedly weak sister [efficacy-wise]; it has an annoying EPS profile;  and maybe, just maybe, people are finally tired of over-medicating and  being over-medicated. But at <strong><font color=\"#660033\">Sunovion<\/font><\/strong>, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.mmm-online.com\/sunovion-reps-deployed-for-latuda\/article\/196093\/\" target=\"_blank\">hope springs eternal<\/a>&hellip;<\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<div align=\"justify\">I think I was pretty naive then. I hadn&rsquo;t quite drawn a bead on the power of indication creep. I didn&rsquo;t factor in the potency of advertising, including this month&rsquo;s spread in the <strong><font color=\"#004400\">American Journal of Psychiatry<\/font><\/strong>. I hadn&#8217;t figured out that <em>new is better<\/em> has an allure that&#8217;s compelling. As you can see, right on schedule, MDD is the next target. Here&#8217;s an update on those trials [and there are 16 more <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/clinicaltrials.gov\/ct2\/results?term=lurasidone&#038;recr=Open&#038;submit_fld_opt=\">open studies<\/a> now underway]:   <\/div>\n<p>         <\/p>\n<table cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"1\" border=\"0\" align=\"center\">\n<tr>\n<td align=\"center\" colspan=\"3\">  <em><strong><font color=\"#660033\">Sunovion<\/font><\/strong><strong><font color=\"#660033\"><sup>&reg;<\/sup><\/font><\/strong><\/em> <strong><font color=\"#004466\">Latuda <\/font><\/strong><strong><font color=\"#660033\">Phase III Clinical Trials<\/font><\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"center\"><strong><font color=\"#660033\"><sup>NCT ID<\/sup><\/font><\/strong><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"center\"><strong><font color=\"#660033\"><sup>Title<\/sup><\/font><\/strong><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"center\"><strong><font color=\"#660033\"><sup>Status<\/sup><\/font><\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"3\">\n<hr size=\"1<\/td\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"left\"><sup><a href=\"http:\/\/ClinicalTrials.gov\/show\/NCT00868699\" target=\"_blank\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">NCT00868699<\/font><\/strong><\/a><\/sup><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"left\"><sup>6-week Study, Bipolar I Depression (Monotherapy)<\/sup><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"center\"><sup>Done<\/sup><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"left\"><sup><a href=\"http:\/\/ClinicalTrials.gov\/show\/NCT00868959\" target=\"_blank\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">NCT00868959<\/font><\/strong><\/a><\/sup><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"left\"><sup>24-week Extension Study, Bipolar I Depression<\/sup><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"center\"><sup>Done<\/sup><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"left\"><sup><a href=\"http:\/\/ClinicalTrials.gov\/show\/NCT00868452\" target=\"_blank\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">NCT00868452<\/font><\/strong><\/a><\/sup><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"left\"><sup>6-week Study, Bipolar I Depression (Add-on)<\/sup><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"center\"><sup>Done<\/sup><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"left\"><sup><a href=\"http:\/\/ClinicalTrials.gov\/show\/NCT01284517\" target=\"_blank\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">NCT01284517<\/font><\/strong><\/a><\/sup><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"left\"><sup>6-week Study, Bipolar I Depression<\/sup><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"center\"><sup>Done<\/sup><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"left\"><sup><a href=\"http:\/\/ClinicalTrials.gov\/show\/NCT01358357\" target=\"_blank\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">NCT01358357<\/font><\/strong><\/a><\/sup><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"left\"><sup>Bipolar Maintenance  Adjunctive to Lithium or Divalproex<\/sup><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"center\"><sup>Recruiting<\/sup><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"left\"><sup><a href=\"http:\/\/ClinicalTrials.gov\/show\/NCT01421134\" target=\"_blank\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">NCT01421134<\/font><\/strong><\/a><\/sup><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"left\"><sup>MDD With Mixed Features &ndash; Flexible Dose<\/sup><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"center\"><sup>Recruiting<\/sup><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"left\"><sup><a href=\"http:\/\/ClinicalTrials.gov\/show\/NCT01423253\" target=\"_blank\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">NCT01423253<\/font><\/strong><\/a><\/sup><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"left\"><sup>MDD With Mixed Features &ndash; Extension<\/sup><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"center\"><sup>Done<\/sup><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"left\"><sup><a href=\"http:\/\/ClinicalTrials.gov\/show\/NCT01423240\" target=\"_blank\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">NCT01423240<\/font><\/strong><\/a><\/sup><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"left\"><sup>MDD With Mixed Features<\/sup><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\" align=\"center\"><sup>Withdrawn<\/sup><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr><\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p><\/p>\n<div align=\"justify\">If I were a marketing professor, I might find all of this pretty interesting and prepare a lecture analyzing the marketing strategy. But I&#8217;m not a marketing professor, and so what I see is experimentation on people who are sick, with the goal of increasing drug sales to other people who are sick. And I&#8217;m a doctor who has lived through this multi&middot;decade&middot;long era where each new drug that comes along is advertised as something special and unique, but doesn&#8217;t pan out and ends up in the <em>another-one-of-those<\/em> file not too long after it goes off-patent and the indication creep and advertising storms pass.<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I really never took a business course or thought about marketing before I started writing this blog. I don&#8217;t even bargain with car salesmen. But I&#8217;ve learned a few things in the last couple of years. I didn&#8217;t understand indication creep until a couple of years ago. I was sitting in a too-hot courtroom trying [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44008","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44008","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44008"}],"version-history":[{"count":17,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44008\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":44025,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44008\/revisions\/44025"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44008"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44008"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44008"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}