{"id":4406,"date":"2010-10-15T00:45:10","date_gmt":"2010-10-15T04:45:10","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/?p=4406"},"modified":"2010-10-20T22:59:59","modified_gmt":"2010-10-21T02:59:59","slug":"before-reaganomics","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/2010\/10\/15\/before-reaganomics\/","title":{"rendered":"before Reaganomics&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<br \/>\n<blockquote>\n<div align=\"center\"><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2010\/10\/15\/opinion\/15fri1.html\" target=\"_blank\">The Foreclosure Crises<\/a><br \/>                       New York Times <br \/>                       Editorial<\/strong><br \/>                       October 14, 2010<\/div>\n<p align=\"justify\">&#8230; The White House may well be right that a moratorium would further rattle  investors. But the economy is not going to rebound until the housing  mess is resolved. What is needed, urgently, are laws and policies to  give homeowners a better shot at reworking their loans so they can keep  making payments and avoid foreclosure. Throughout this crisis, the Obama administration has been far more  worried about protecting the banks than protecting homeowners. The big  weaknesses in the administration&rsquo;s main anti-foreclosure policy is that  participation by lenders is voluntary and homeowners have little  leverage to get better terms &mdash; especially reductions in loan principal  when the mortgage balance is greater than the value of the home.        <\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\"> One way to change that would be for Congress to reform the bankruptcy  law so troubled borrowers could turn to the courts for a loan  modification if banks were uncooperative. Homeowners also need a simple  process to challenge a bank if it uses incorrect information to deny a  modification and justify a foreclosure, or if it refuses to divulge the  facts and figures it used. The administration also needs to alter refinancing guidelines so that  many borrowers who are current in their payments are eligible to  refinance to lower rates, even if their houses have declined in value.  It needs to provide more legal aid to homeowners, using money authorized  by Congress.        <\/p>\n<div align=\"justify\"> This latest foreclosure crisis should settle one issue once and for all.  The banks that got us into this mess can&rsquo;t be trusted to get us out of  it. The administration and Congress need to act.        <\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<div align=\"justify\">Since I wrote <u><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/wp-admin\/..\/index.php\/2010\/10\/14\/the-securitization-process\/\" target=\"_blank\"><font color=\"#200020\">the <em>securitization<\/em> process&hellip;<\/font><\/a><\/strong><\/u> earlier today, this whole business of foreclosures and Mortgage-backed Securities [Collateralized Debt Obligations] has been rolling around in my mind. The part where I&#8217;m stuck is at the very beginning &#8211;&nbsp; how I understood the loan process:<\/div>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div align=\"justify\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">the borrower:<\/font><\/strong> I want to buy a home. I really have no real clue of what I can afford, or if I can even afford to buy a home. So I go to a Bank, and they tell me I can afford to buy a home that costs x amount with a loan that costs such-and-such per month. They look at my credit history and income and decide if they would lend my the money to take out a loan.<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div align=\"justify\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">the lender: <\/font><\/strong>I&#8217;m in the business of making a profit on loaning money, which means that I need to become an expert on how much a given person can borrow, and likely pay back. The forces that drive me are that I am only making money when it is loaned out &#8211; unless I make bad loans that default and I have to foreclose. Then I usually lose money.                   <\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p align=\"justify\">As a non-financial person, naive to the ways of money, I&#8217;ve counted on the Bank&#8217;s self-interest in my paying off my loan to help me make my decisions. So it seemed win-win the way it was. The Bank lending me the money was invested in helping me make a realistic decision. Their mistake is their loss. When the Bank was dealing directly with me, they shouldered the risk of the loan. Too many risky loans and they were toast. Too tight the control on their lending and they made no profit. It reminds me of a code of morality for businessmen I recently read:<\/p>\n<table width=\"90%\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"3\" border=\"0\" align=\"center\">\n<tr>\n<td>\n<div align=\"justify\"> <strong><em><font color=\"#200020\">&quot;It is precisely the &lsquo;greed&rsquo; of the businessman  or, more appropriately,  his profit seeking which is the unexpected  protector of the consumer. It is in the self-interest of every  businessman to have a  reputation for integrity and a quality product. A  company cannot afford to risk its years of investment by letting down   its standards of quality for one moment or one inferior product; nor   would it be tempted by any potential &lsquo;quick killing,&rsquo;&quot;<\/font><\/em><\/strong><\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\"><strong>Alan Greenspan<\/strong> [1963]<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>            <\/p>\n<div align=\"justify\">In 1963, I might well have agreed with Mr. Greenspan. But in recent times, the playing field has become remarkably different.<\/div>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div align=\"justify\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">the borrower:<\/font><\/strong> I want to buy a home. I really have no real clue of what I can afford, or if I can even afford to buy a home. So I go to a Bank, and they tell me I can afford to buy a home that costs x amount with a loan that costs such-and-such per month. They look at my credit history and income and decide if they would lend my the money to take out a loan.<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<div align=\"justify\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">the lender: <\/font><\/strong>I&#8217;m in the business of making a profit on loaning money, which means that I make loans, then sell them to somebody else, along with the risk. The amount I get for the loan depends on some rating of the risk made by a rating agency. So my profit is determined by making a lot of loans and selling them, minimizing their risk if possible. I might even coach my clients on how to fill out their applications, &quot;helping them&quot; get their loan. The more loans I make, the more loans I have to sell. The more I help people look less risky, the more I get for the loan.<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p align=\"justify\"><img decoding=\"async\" vspace=\"4\" hspace=\"3\" height=\"100\" border=\"1\" align=\"left\" src=\"http:\/\/t0.gstatic.com\/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcTh0EShhFa1q3jRT7slRYx_KS5-7YvkhUo04e6bnl-SD_DFx4M&#038;t=1&#038;usg=__baGwDR_lQplffoHx7aKdTpJWR6w=\" \/>As a non-financial person, naive to the ways of money, I&#8217;ve counted on  the Bank&#8217;s self-interest in my paying off my loan to help me make my  decisions, but that confidence is badly misplaced. If anything, I need to be vigilant that the Bank doesn&#8217;t allow me to borrow beyond my means, and I&#8217;m not really in a position as a young buyer to know how to determine that accurately. Worse, the Banker is in a position to underestimate the risk, because they aren&#8217;t directly involved in shouldering that risk. Speaking of Alan Greenspan:<\/p>\n<table width=\"90%\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"3\" border=\"0\" align=\"center\">\n<tr>\n<td>\n<div align=\"justify\"> <strong><em><font color=\"#200020\">&ldquo;What we have found over the years in the marketplace is that derivatives have been an extraordinarily useful vehicle to transfer risk from those who shouldn&rsquo;t be taking it to those who are willing to and are capable of doing so,&rdquo; Mr. Greenspan told the Senate Banking Committee in 2003. &ldquo;We think it would be a mistake&rdquo; to more deeply regulate the contracts, he added.<\/font><\/em><\/strong><\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\"><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2008\/10\/09\/business\/economy\/09greenspan.html\" target=\"_blank\">Alan Greenspan<\/a><\/strong> [2003]<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>        <\/p>\n<div align=\"justify\">Well. there&#8217;s a piece of advice that has passed its prime. Greenspan was a supporter of &quot;hedging&quot; risk &#8211; thus he supported unregulated Derivative Trading among other things.         <\/div>\n<p align=\"justify\"><img decoding=\"async\" vspace=\"4\" hspace=\"4\" height=\"110\" border=\"1\" align=\"right\" src=\"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/images\/cassano.jpg\" \/>That makes absolutely no sense at all. If the people making the loans aren&#8217;t going to have to deal with the risk themselves, and they are given an incentive to make lots of loans and make their profit by minimizing risk, it doesn&#8217;t matter one little bit what happens after that. It doesn&#8217;t matter what exotic ways people find to &quot;hedge&quot; the risk. Somewhere down the line, the &quot;risky business&quot; will catch up. And the cascades of increasing risk won&#8217;t hurt the people who took it. For example, <u><a href=\"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/2010\/10\/06\/collteral-damage-in-a-virtual-reality\/\" target=\"_blank\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">Joseph Cassano<\/font><\/strong><\/a><\/u>, manager of the Financial Products unit in the London Office of <strong><font color=\"#000099\">A.I.G.<\/font><\/strong> sold the Credit Default Swaps that shouldered the risk on a lot of CDO&#8217;s where these risky Mortgages ended up. He was paid an average of $26 M yearly for his expertise. When everything collapsed, the US Government took ownership of <strong><font color=\"#000099\">A.I.G.<\/font><\/strong> and paid off the debt. <strong><font><u><a href=\"http:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/2010\/10\/06\/collteral-damage-in-a-virtual-reality\" target=\"_blank\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">Joseph Cassano<\/font><\/strong><\/a><\/u><\/font><\/strong> kept his $208 M and lives in an expensive flat in London. I guess he was one of&nbsp;&nbsp;&quot;<strong><em><font color=\"#200020\">those who are willing to and are capable of doing so<\/font><\/em><\/strong>.&quot;<\/p>\n<div align=\"justify\"><img decoding=\"async\" vspace=\"4\" hspace=\"4\" height=\"186\" border=\"1\" align=\"left\" src=\"http:\/\/t2.gstatic.com\/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcTpy-klAxjwFPN2mTBKj3ed1whgadV7B-gKTZHFT8rdt0fkp7A&#038;t=1&#038;usg=__zr-p1ST_A-kc3jGL_AYj9NSfqE0=\" \/>I have no real opinion about the &quot;foreclosure crisis.&quot; It&#8217;s a mess no matter what we do. And it&#8217;s a mess that was infinitely predictable &#8211; a mess we shouldn&#8217;t have in the first place. What I glean from all of this is much simpler. There&#8217;s no reason in the world for us to have Mortgage-backed Securities in the first place. They only exist so the Financial Industry will have something to play around with, make money from, use to personally profit as they collapse our economy. It started with <strong><font color=\"#200020\">Reagan&#8217;s deregulation<\/font><\/strong> and the repeal of the <u><a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Glass%E2%80%93Steagall_Act\" target=\"_blank\"><strong><font color=\"#200020\">Glass-Steagall Act<\/font><\/strong><\/a><\/u> and <u><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.tpub.com\/content\/cg1999\/gg99074\/gg990740029.htm\" target=\"_blank\"><font color=\"#200020\">Shad-Johnson Accord<\/font><\/a><\/strong><\/u>. From where I sit, the mega-Banks and the Derivatives Market have given us nothing but pain. No matter what anyone says, they&#8217;ve given us <u>nothing<\/u> but pain. It&#8217;s like <strong><font color=\"#200020\">Prohibition<\/font><\/strong>. We tried it their way, and it didn&#8217;t work. So let&#8217;s go back to how it was before Reaganomics, before Greenspan. It&#8217;s really that simple&#8230;<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Foreclosure Crises New York Times Editorial October 14, 2010 &#8230; The White House may well be right that a moratorium would further rattle investors. But the economy is not going to rebound until the housing mess is resolved. What is needed, urgently, are laws and policies to give homeowners a better shot at reworking [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4406","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4406","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4406"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4406\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4406"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4406"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/1boringoldman.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4406"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}