the only source…

Posted on Thursday 18 March 2010


A review the prewar "intelligence" that took us to war in Iraq:
  1. Curveball: Rāfid Aḥmad ‘Alwān"Rāfid Aḥmad ‘Alwān known by the Central Intelligence Agency pseudonym "Curveball", is an Iraqi citizen who defected from Iraq in 1999, claiming that he had worked as a chemical engineer at a plant that manufactured mobile biological weapon laboratories as part of an Iraqi weapons of mass destruction program." He defected to Germany who passed on his claims of Iraq’s Weapons of Mass Destruction but would not let us interrogate him. The Germans didn’t believe him at the time, nor did the C.I.A. All of his claims have been thoroughly debunked. He was, it seems, a petty crook in search of a green card.
  2. The Aluminum Tubes: "In 2000, Iraq ordered, via a company in Jordan, 60,000 high-strength aluminum tubes manufactured from 7075-T4 aluminum with an outer diameter of 81 mm, and an inner diameter of 74.4 mm, a wall thickness of 3.3 mm and a length of 900 mm, to be manufactured in China. These tubes were classified as controlled items by the United Nations and Iraq was not permitted to import them." They were touted to be for centrifuge enrichment of uranium, but there was much doubt. The same tubes were used by Italy for small missiles, which is probably what Iraq wanted them for [and, by the way, Iraq didn’t have any uranium to enrich].
  3. The Niger Yellowcake Uranium: The Niger forgeries suggesting that Iraq had purchased Niger Uranium Ore had already been debunked by the French and the Germans before they were passed off to the US by the Italian Secret Service. While the forgery story makes great reading, it was a scam from the get go. The point for this post is that it couldn’t be debunked until we saw the actual documents which came late in the game. We originally relied on their reported content from the Italian Secret Service.
  4. al Qaeda ties to Iraq: The only source for this allegation was detainee Ibn al-Shaykh al-Libi.

It’s ACLU FOIA document dump time again – this time from the C.I.A. I ran across this letter in one of the pdf’s dated May 24, 2007 written to President Bush by Congressmen Edward Markey [D-MA], William Delahunt [D-MA], and Jerrold Nadler [D-NY] inquiring about the President’s claims in the lead-up to the Iraq War. It stirred up those old wounds. The letter is clear and straightforward. The Congressmen document the now public history of the interrogation of Ibn al-Shaykh al-Libi, a Libyan, who was the first "high value detainee" captured after 9/11 in November 2001.

[the full letter is here]

They go on to ask the President the obvious – seven specific questions about this story. Here’s the only document in the dump in response [3 weeks later]. I don’t know if they got any other responses:

Ibn al-Shaykh al-LibiThe salient point is that Ibn al-Shaykh al-Libi is the only detainee to say that Iraq trained al Qaeda operatives, the only source of any kind to link Saddam Hussein to al Qaeda. The circumstances of that revelation were suspect from the start. After his capture, he was interrogated by the F.B.I. at Bagram AFB in Afghanistan. Then the CIA approached George W. Bush for permission to take al-Libi into their own custody and rendition him to a foreign country for more "tough guy" questioning, and were granted permission. He was moved to the USS Bataan then turned over to the Egyptians. It was in Egypt  under the threat of torture that he said that Iraq had trained several al Qaeda operatives to use chemical-biological weapons.

The Defense Intelligence Agency concluded in February 2002 that al-Libi was lying:
This is the first report from Ibn al-Shaykh in which he claims Iraq assisted al-Qaida’s CBRN efforts. However, he lacks specific details on the Iraqi’s [sic] involved, the CBRN materials associated with the assistance, and the location where training occurred. It is possible he does not know any further details; it is more likely this individual is intentionally misleading the debriefers. Ibn al-Shaykh has been undergoing debriefs for several weeks and may describing [sic] scenarios to the debriefers that he knows will retain their interest.
There was a similar report from the C.I.A. in the summer of 2002 described by Newsweek. In January 2004, when confronted with the inconsistencies in his story by the C.I.A., al-Libi recanted his claim – saying he made it to avoid being tortured. al-Libi was moved among overseas C.I.A. sites until 2006 when Bush was pressured to bring all of those prisoners to GITMO. al-Libi was not among the transferred detainees. He was found in a prison in Libya in 2009 by a Red Cross worker who knew him. Shortly after being located, he was reported dead from suicide, though there was wide suspicion that he was actually murdered.

I know that anyone reading this already knows about this – maybe not the details – but the gist of it. We took the intelligence garnered by the Germans from "Curveball" that even they didn’t believe. We added somebody’s fantasy that the Aluminum Tubes were for uranium centrifuges [Italy never got around to telling us what they were for]. The Niger forgeries were presented to us by their author Rocco Martino and for unknown reasons, the Italian Secret Service went along with the ruse. Both the Germans and the French knew that the documents were forged. So it came down to what the Egyptians reported that Ibn al-Shaykh al-Libi had said, something he recanted when he was interrogated by our C.I.A.

Second hand innuendo was presented to the American Congress and people as fact – without the reservations that, in every case, invalidated it. The Bush Administration knew what they were doing the whole time. Whether their motives were pure [some genuine belief that Regime Change in Iraq was necessary] or otherwise [oil] is immaterial. They knew they were sending us to war on next to no evidence, and spent the rest of their tenure in full cover-up mode when nothing was found. It is likely that al-Libi was hidden from view overseas to prevent him from telling his full story. I expect he was sent to Libya to keep him out of GITMO where he might have seen the light of day. And I think he was murdered because his whereabouts made the Press.

I was pleased to find this letter written by the Congressmen in the C.I.A. dump this week. They had their facts right, and they asked the right questions. The C.I.A. told them nothing. I’ll bet the President did the same. The C.I.A. refers to them as "non-oversight Members of Congress." But we know that, in this particular area, there was no such thing as an "oversight Member of Congress." al-Libi’s allegation was the only piece of evidence given to invade Iraq that was not fully debunked by the day we went to war, though it had been questioned by both the Defense Intelligence Agency and the Central Intelligence Agency over a year before. I want to say it again for my own ears to hear. We invaded Iraq solely based on a secondhand report on what one person said, a man who was threatened with torture. Even if what he had claimed had been true, it would’ve been an extremely weak argument for war. But it wasn’t true…

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